PHI beat NYR 3–1. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 1.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Bobby Brink scored at 3:14 of the first, moving PHI’s win probability from 53% to 69%. Igor Shesterkin saved 2.2 goals above expected.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:14 | Bobby Brink from Tyson Foerster | 0–1 | 53% → 69% | |
| P1 4:24 | Travis Konecny from Sean Couturier, Rasmus Ristolainen | 0–2 | 69% → 82% | |
| P2 10:20 | Vincent Trocheck from Will Cuylle, Braden Schneider | 1–2 | 12% → 26% | |
| P3 19:32 | Travis KonecnyEN from Travis Sanheim | 1–3 | 97% → 100% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Trocheck C | 19:30 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.06 | +0.50 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Braden Schneider D | 17:03 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 11:37 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| K'Andre Miller D | 19:30 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zac Jones D | 17:02 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 19:54 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 23:16 | −0.09 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Edstrom C | 10:24 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 11:01 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jimmy Vesey L | 11:19 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 20:47 | −0.13 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 20:13 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 17:45 | −0.23 | +0.03 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 14:30 | −0.27 | −0.07 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Brett Berard L | 14:52 | −0.32 | −0.04 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 12:27 | −0.34 | −0.03 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 19:38 | −0.48 | −0.09 | −0.39 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Cuylle L | 19:20 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.14 | −0.38 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 57:52 | +2.25 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Konecny R | 17:17 | 2 | +0.47 | +0.06 | +0.41 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bobby Brink R | 13:48 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.11 | +0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Helge Grans D | 14:25 | +0.11 | +0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:49 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 20:49 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.08 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 16:48 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 20:02 | −0.00 | +0.09 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 14:03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 22:25 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 15:48 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 12:27 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 19:12 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 15:13 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 12:07 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.31 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 14:51 | −0.24 | +0.23 | −0.48 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 14:15 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.14 | −0.42 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 16:22 | −0.35 | +0.03 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 16:19 | −0.53 | +0.02 | −0.57 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Fedotov G | 60:00 | +1.30 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.