PHI beat NSH 3–2 in overtime. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 3.0 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Sean Couturier scored at 2:31 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:17 |  NSH | Roman Josi from Alexandre Carrier | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 12:46 |  PHI | Scott Laughton from Ryan Poehling | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P1 16:18 | NSH | Ryan O'Reilly from Gustav Nyquist, Brady Skjei | 1–2 | 53% → 71% |
| P3 19:48 | PHI | Morgan FrostPP from Travis Sanheim, Sean Couturier | 2–2 | 3% → 49% |
| OT 2:31 | PHI | Sean Couturier from Travis Konecny, Rasmus Ristolainen | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Laughton C | 9:43 | 1 | +0.90 | −0.00 | +0.91 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 19:15 | 1 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.18 | +0.64 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Morgan Frost C | 17:50 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.05 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 21:27 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.34 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyson Foerster R | 12:35 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 21:03 | +0.03 | +0.09 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 14:54 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Helge Grans D | 13:58 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 11:52 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Cam York D | 22:46 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 11:41 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 17:48 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Brink R | 13:18 | −0.18 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 12:31 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.03 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 21:05 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.12 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Matvei Michkov R | 19:20 | −0.33 | −0.10 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 16:31 | −0.63 | +0.08 | −0.68 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 26:23 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.33 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Kolosov G | 60:04 | +0.52 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 17:50 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.20 | +0.60 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Roman Josi D | 26:33 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.07 | +0.48 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexandre Carrier D | 23:20 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.29 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Sissons C | 12:32 | +0.12 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 18:15 | +0.09 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 18:15 | +0.08 | +0.12 | −0.08 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zachary L'Heureux L | 10:45 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Jankowski L | 11:37 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 11:04 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Wilsby D | 17:27 | −0.02 | +0.07 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 17:37 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Luke Evangelista R | 15:08 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brady Skjei D | 20:18 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Fedor Svechkov C | 13:15 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nick Blankenburg D | 14:33 | −0.26 | −0.26 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 16:42 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.03 | −0.43 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Steven Stamkos C | 17:56 | −0.45 | −0.35 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 18:24 | −0.51 | −0.10 | −0.39 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 62:31 | −0.55 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.