CBJ beat BOS 5–1. CBJ lost the expected-goals battle 1.8 to 2.9 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Dmitri Voronkov scored at 5:17 of the first, moving CBJ’s win probability from 47% to 63%. Jeremy Swayman allowed 2.9 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:17 | CBJ | Dmitri Voronkov from Sean Monahan, Dante Fabbro | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 10:39 | CBJ | Mathieu OlivierSH unassisted | 2–0 | 63% → 77% |
| P1 19:28 | CBJ | James van Riemsdyk from Zach Werenski, Adam Fantilli | 3–0 | 80% → 92% |
| P2 14:30 |  BOS | Charlie CoylePP from Justin Brazeau, Mason Lohrei | 3–1 | 4% → 14% |
| P3 7:19 | CBJ | Justin DanforthSH from Cole Sillinger | 4–1 | 93% → 99% |
| P3 14:10 | CBJ | Egor Chinakhov from Sean Monahan | 5–1 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Danforth R | 16:31 | 1 | +0.75 | −0.05 | +0.80 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Dmitri Voronkov L | 13:41 | 1 | +0.65 | −0.01 | +0.86 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 12:44 | 1 | +0.64 | −0.12 | +0.77 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 9:56 | 1 | +0.52 | +0.03 | +0.49 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mathieu Olivier R | 12:19 | 1 | +0.38 | −0.02 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.40 | +0.00 | |
| David Jiricek D | 8:14 | +0.14 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 10:45 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Adam Fantilli C | 15:18 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Damon Severson D | 26:47 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Christiansen D | 10:02 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 11:19 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 18:49 | 2 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.35 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.04 | |
| Cole Sillinger C | 17:12 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Kirill Marchenko R | 15:53 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Zachary Aston-Reese C | 14:06 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 22:09 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:07 | −0.24 | +0.08 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 25:44 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins G | 60:00 | +2.12 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Coyle C | 16:43 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.07 | +0.48 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | |
| Jeffrey Viel L | 8:29 | +0.17 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 17:27 | +0.17 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.06 | ||
| Georgii Merkulov C | 15:20 | +0.09 | +0.12 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 15:21 | +0.07 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Beecher C | 11:53 | +0.03 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 18:59 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Oesterle D | 16:53 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 16:55 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 20:20 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.28 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 17:56 | −0.08 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 14:29 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.01 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 18:55 | −0.14 | +0.06 | −0.18 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 15:36 | −0.18 | +0.15 | −0.31 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 10:58 | −0.33 | −0.10 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 20:30 | −0.34 | −0.02 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Justin Brazeau R | 13:12 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.02 | −0.33 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 24:40 | −0.70 | −0.01 | −0.33 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.40 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 59:24 | −2.88 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.