UTA beat BOS 2–1 in overtime. UTA also won the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Michael Kesselring scored at 2:46 of overtime, moving UTA’s win probability from 54% to 100%. Connor Ingram saved 1.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–UTA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 12:49 | BOS | Cole Koepke from Brad Marchand | 1–0 | 47% → 69% |
| P3 14:51 |  UTA | Vladislav Kolyachonok from Nick Schmaltz, Clayton Keller | 1–1 | 14% → 51% |
| OT 2:46 | UTA | Michael Kesselring from Logan Cooley, Matias Maccelli | 1–2 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Koepke L | 12:31 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.14 | +0.44 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 17:39 | +0.18 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.03 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 18:06 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.11 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 18:39 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Brazeau R | 11:15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 18:16 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 12:43 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Matthew Poitras C | 12:19 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 12:41 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 13:52 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 20:21 | −0.16 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| John Beecher C | 12:41 | −0.19 | +0.13 | −0.30 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 16:20 | −0.22 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 21:57 | −0.24 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 18:15 | −0.31 | −0.15 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 23:48 | −0.35 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 19:51 | −0.49 | −0.18 | −0.15 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 19:17 | −0.70 | −0.17 | −0.51 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 62:37 | +0.60 |
UTA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kesselring D | 21:50 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.05 | +0.77 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Kolyachonok D | 15:54 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.12 | +0.75 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Logan Cooley C | 15:20 | 1 | +0.16 | −0.05 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.40 | +0.01 | |
| Matias Maccelli L | 12:21 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.08 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Ian Cole D | 19:26 | +0.02 | +0.07 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Bortuzzo D | 10:46 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 11:01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack McBain C | 12:54 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alexander Kerfoot C | 13:41 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Juuso Välimäki D | 21:16 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Schmaltz C | 21:45 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.10 | −0.26 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Lawson Crouse L | 14:19 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Clayton Keller R | 21:19 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.12 | −0.26 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Dylan Guenther R | 20:44 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Barrett Hayton C | 17:37 | −0.18 | +0.05 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Josh Doan R | 11:54 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Kevin Stenlund C | 12:29 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.02 | ||
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 28:09 | −0.29 | −0.06 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Ingram G | 62:23 | +1.15 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.