LAK beat MTL 4–1. Expected goals were close to even (LAK 2.6, MTL 2.5), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Alex Laferriere scored at 1:37 of the second, moving LAK’s win probability from 47% to 66%. David Rittich saved 1.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–MTL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:02 |  MTL | Justin Barron from Cole Caufield, Nick Suzuki | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 18:20 | LAK | Mikey Anderson from Vladislav Gavrikov, Adrian Kempe | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 1:37 | LAK | Alex Laferriere from Jordan Spence, Alex Turcotte | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P3 17:02 | LAK | Andreas Englund from Quinton Byfield | 3–1 | 91% → 99% |
| P3 19:12 | LAK | Adrian KempeEN from Vladislav Gavrikov, Anze Kopitar | 4–1 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Anderson D | 25:57 | 1 | +1.10 | +0.18 | +0.91 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Laferriere R | 13:54 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.06 | +0.81 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andreas Englund D | 14:10 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.03 | +0.91 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 17:54 | +0.25 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.04 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 28:00 | 2 | +0.17 | +0.25 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 18:58 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.12 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 19:00 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.11 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Spence D | 23:03 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Turcotte C | 12:25 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Brandt Clarke D | 14:46 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 13:37 | −0.07 | +0.12 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Lee L | 8:28 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 8:20 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 17:52 | 1 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.17 | −0.46 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Caleb Jones D | 12:28 | −0.31 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 16:44 | −0.37 | +0.04 | −0.22 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 10:06 | −0.38 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.04 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 14:30 | −1.00 | −0.03 | −0.97 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| David Rittich G | 60:00 | +1.89 |
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Barron D | 17:45 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.84 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Evans C | 14:47 | +0.12 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Alex Newhook C | 14:44 | +0.12 | −0.05 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.40 | −0.05 | ||
| Kaiden Guhle D | 23:09 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Matheson D | 7:35 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Gallagher R | 14:24 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 10:05 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Emil Heineman L | 10:13 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Kapanen C | 11:11 | −0.15 | +0.07 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Juraj Slafkovský L | 21:10 | −0.18 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Savard D | 18:58 | −0.22 | −0.17 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lane Hutson D | 30:05 | −0.22 | −0.14 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 13:59 | −0.23 | +0.08 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arber Xhekaj D | 14:31 | −0.27 | +0.16 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Caufield R | 22:07 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.17 | −0.29 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Armia R | 14:10 | −0.29 | −0.10 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Suzuki C | 22:20 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.17 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Kirby Dach C | 16:42 | −0.55 | −0.12 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault G | 58:05 | −0.15 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.