NJD beat UTA 3–0. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 3.9 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Seamus Casey scored on the power play at 1:14 of the second, moving NJD’s win probability from 53% to 72%. Jake Allen saved 2.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | UTA–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:14 | NJD | Seamus CaseyPP from Nico Hischier | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 8:13 | NJD | Stefan Noesen from Seamus Casey | 0–2 | 73% → 88% |
| P3 10:13 | NJD | Nico HischierPP from Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt | 0–3 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
UTA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Durzi D | 9:09 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Stenlund C | 17:31 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.03 | ||
| Vladislav Kolyachonok D | 15:57 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Cooley C | 15:26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack McBain C | 11:59 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Barrett Hayton C | 14:37 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | ||
| Nick Schmaltz C | 17:52 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Liam O'Brien C | 8:52 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matias Maccelli L | 13:18 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Guenther R | 13:48 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Doan R | 15:46 | −0.13 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.01 | ||
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 28:25 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Juuso Välimäki D | 21:12 | −0.28 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Kerfoot C | 15:31 | −0.30 | −0.03 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Michael Kesselring D | 20:03 | −0.34 | −0.16 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Clayton Keller R | 16:59 | −0.42 | −0.04 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Cole D | 18:11 | −0.50 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.40 | +0.00 | ||
| Lawson Crouse L | 14:19 | −0.61 | +0.01 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka G | 58:11 | +1.29 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seamus Casey D | 14:09 | 1 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.09 | +0.81 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Stefan Noesen R | 14:56 | 1 | +0.74 | −0.01 | +0.76 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nico Hischier C | 19:25 | 1 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.19 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.40 | +0.01 |
| Simon Nemec D | 18:25 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 20:01 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Hughes C | 21:08 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.15 | −0.20 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brenden Dillon D | 17:44 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 23:06 | −0.03 | +0.10 | −0.38 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Curtis Lazar C | 12:27 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Tomas Tatar L | 11:24 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Erik Haula L | 15:50 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Ondrej Palat L | 11:38 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 13:56 | −0.23 | +0.04 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nathan Bastian R | 11:57 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 17:33 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.12 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 17:11 | −0.26 | −0.06 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 14:03 | −0.40 | +0.02 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 17:07 | −0.49 | +0.13 | −0.62 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 60:00 | +2.20 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.