OTT beat LAK 8–7 in overtime. OTT also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Josh Norris scored at 0:56 of overtime, moving OTT’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Darcy Kuemper allowed 3.8 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–OTT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:12 |  LAK | Kevin FialaPP from Anze Kopitar, Brandt Clarke | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 9:07 | LAK | Trevor Lewis from Alex Turcotte, Mikey Anderson | 2–0 | 63% → 77% |
| P1 10:25 | OTT | Jake SandersonPP from Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stützle | 2–1 | 24% → 36% |
| P2 5:31 | LAK | Adrian KempePP from Brandt Clarke, Anze Kopitar | 3–1 | 68% → 82% |
| P2 10:26 | OTT | Zack MacEwen from Nick Jensen | 3–2 | 16% → 32% |
| P2 11:16 | LAK | Alex Laferriere from Kyle Burroughs, Adrian Kempe | 4–2 | 69% → 85% |
| P2 15:13 | OTT | Drake BathersonPP from Jake Sanderson, Josh Norris | 4–3 | 14% → 30% |
| P2 15:32 | OTT | Thomas Chabot from Tim Stützle, Brady Tkachuk | 4–4 | 30% → 53% |
| P2 16:25 | LAK | Kevin FialaPP from Brandt Clarke, Anze Kopitar | 5–4 | 48% → 71% |
| P2 17:52 | OTT | Zack MacEwen from Adam Gaudette | 5–5 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 3:38 | LAK | Alex Laferriere unassisted | 6–5 | 48% → 75% |
| P3 5:25 | OTT | Claude GirouxPP from Shane Pinto, Thomas Chabot | 6–6 | 25% → 53% |
| P3 9:18 | OTT | Josh NorrisPP from Drake Batherson, Brady Tkachuk | 6–7 | 53% → 82% |
| P3 14:26 | LAK | Tanner Jeannot unassisted | 7–7 | 12% → 49% |
| OT 0:56 | OTT | Josh Norris from Drake Batherson, Tim Stützle | 7–8 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Laferriere R | 17:05 | 2 | +1.43 | +0.13 | +1.31 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:38 | 2 | +0.82 | −0.02 | +1.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.01 | |
| Tanner Jeannot L | 10:59 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.01 | +0.79 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Lewis C | 8:07 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.17 | +0.78 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:18 | 1 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.07 | +0.58 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Quinton Byfield R | 17:35 | +0.14 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.20 | +0.07 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 25:48 | +0.12 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 6:40 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | −0.02 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:45 | 3 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Andre Lee L | 7:58 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 17:35 | 3 | −0.11 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 17:56 | −0.14 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 22:52 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 13:31 | −0.23 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Burroughs D | 15:02 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 18:45 | −0.31 | −0.06 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 14:33 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 19:48 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.09 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 60:55 | −3.84 |
OTT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Norris C | 18:21 | 2 | 1 | +1.65 | +0.29 | +1.37 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Zack MacEwen C | 5:14 | 2 | +1.37 | +0.07 | +1.70 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.40 | +0.00 | |
| Drake Batherson R | 16:42 | 1 | 2 | +0.92 | +0.32 | +0.38 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.01 |
| Thomas Chabot D | 29:04 | 1 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.19 | +0.63 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jake Sanderson D | 26:45 | 1 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.00 | +0.83 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Claude Giroux R | 17:14 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.02 | +0.78 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Tyler Kleven D | 15:51 | +0.15 | +0.04 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Cousins C | 9:03 | +0.09 | +0.14 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Gaudette R | 5:36 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Nick Jensen D | 23:47 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artem Zub D | 2:38 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tim Stützle C | 20:31 | 3 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Travis Hamonic D | 16:14 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Gregor L | 14:46 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 19:05 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shane Pinto C | 19:53 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.01 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.03 | |
| David Perron L | 13:20 | −0.52 | +0.02 | −0.54 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brady Tkachuk L | 19:54 | 3 | −0.88 | −0.07 | −0.58 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 26:15 | −1.69 |
| Mads Sogaard G | 34:29 | −2.28 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.