BOS beat FLA 3–2 in overtime. BOS lost the expected-goals battle 2.3 to 3.2 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Jesper Boqvist scored at 2:05 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | FLA–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:37 | FLA | Matthew Tkachuk from Vladimir Tarasenko, Gustav Forsling | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 5:42 | BOS | Charlie McAvoy from Danton Heinen, Pavel Zacha | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P2 15:45 | BOS | Charlie CoylePP from Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak | 1–2 | 54% → 75% |
| P3 5:24 | FLA | Aleksander Barkov from Sam Reinhart, Gustav Forsling | 2–2 | 20% → 48% |
| OT 2:05 | BOS | Jesper Boqvist unassisted | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
FLA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksander Barkov C | 20:39 | 1 | +0.28 | −0.04 | +0.19 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Montour D | 27:33 | +0.14 | +0.21 | −0.01 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 22:14 | +0.08 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Tkachuk L | 18:45 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.13 | +0.25 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 15:48 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.24 | −0.13 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Niko Mikkola D | 22:26 | +0.05 | +0.24 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Cousins C | 12:13 | +0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Sam Reinhart C | 22:05 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.15 | −0.21 | +0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Joshua Mahura D | 9:42 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 12:31 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Forsling D | 22:34 | 2 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Eetu Luostarinen C | 15:51 | −0.02 | +0.11 | −0.09 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Bennett C | 16:39 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Ryan Lomberg L | 5:57 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evan Rodrigues C | 15:15 | −0.10 | +0.05 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Stenlund C | 11:00 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jonah Gadjovich L | 5:37 | −0.26 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Lundell C | 15:59 | −0.35 | +0.38 | −0.27 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.37 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky G | 62:05 | −0.04 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Coyle C | 18:43 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.07 | +0.37 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.08 | |
| Trent Frederic C | 12:27 | +0.36 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.37 | −0.01 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 11:43 | 1 | +0.21 | −0.13 | +0.39 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 25:58 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.07 | +0.32 | −0.15 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:02 | +0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 15:04 | +0.00 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 15:13 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.16 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakub Lauko C | 5:37 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 17:08 | −0.05 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 20:32 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.16 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Beecher C | 10:02 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 18:38 | −0.20 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 10:31 | −0.21 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 16:08 | −0.24 | −0.09 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 19:48 | −0.25 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 16:51 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 23:22 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.41 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Zacha C | 20:04 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark G | 61:29 | +0.77 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.