NYR beat DET 4–3. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Chris Kreider scored on the power play at 10:14 of the third, moving NYR’s win probability from 50% to 80%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:58 | NYR | Will Cuylle unassisted | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 7:11 |  DET | Andrew Copp from Joe Veleno, Moritz Seider | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 19:31 | NYR | Barclay Goodrow from Jimmy Vesey, Jonny Brodzinski | 2–1 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 1:24 | DET | J.T. Compher from Jeff Petry, David Perron | 2–2 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 13:19 | DET | Dylan LarkinPP from David Perron, Shayne Gostisbehere | 2–3 | 54% → 75% |
| P2 13:44 | NYR | Barclay Goodrow from Jonny Brodzinski, Jimmy Vesey | 3–3 | 25% → 47% |
| P3 10:14 | NYR | Chris KreiderPP from Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin | 4–3 | 50% → 80% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclay Goodrow C | 15:28 | 2 | +1.70 | +0.22 | +1.48 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Will Cuylle L | 12:46 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.05 | +0.64 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Kreider L | 16:56 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.10 | +0.56 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Adam Fox D | 24:50 | +0.23 | +0.36 | −0.17 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 14:57 | +0.10 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| K'Andre Miller D | 20:06 | +0.09 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jimmy Vesey L | 14:33 | 2 | +0.09 | +0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Artemi Panarin L | 19:15 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.34 | −0.37 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 15:31 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Vincent Trocheck C | 18:29 | −0.05 | +0.32 | −0.34 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 8:07 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 20:50 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 14:41 | −0.18 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 15:17 | −0.24 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 17:32 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.11 | −0.33 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Jacob Trouba D | 19:39 | −0.30 | −0.04 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 13:47 | −0.34 | +0.03 | −0.37 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 13:24 | 2 | −0.38 | +0.19 | −0.57 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 59:37 | +0.34 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Copp C | 13:20 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.13 | +0.76 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| J.T. Compher L | 19:17 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.24 | +0.50 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.06 | |
| Dylan Larkin C | 24:22 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.06 | +0.25 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.06 | |
| Simon Edvinsson D | 19:18 | +0.05 | +0.08 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Fischer R | 13:03 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 11:46 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Kane R | 21:32 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.15 | +0.11 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Perron L | 18:25 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.14 | −0.13 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Chiarot D | 18:39 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Sprong R | 8:44 | −0.20 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Czarnik C | 6:07 | −0.23 | −0.06 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 20:18 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.19 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 20:36 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.15 | −0.32 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jeff Petry D | 18:18 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.10 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 17:38 | −0.32 | −0.24 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 16:18 | −0.33 | −0.28 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robby Fabbri C | 11:10 | −0.41 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 18:56 | −0.42 | +0.13 | −0.58 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon G | 57:28 | −0.25 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.