LAK beat SJS 2–1. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 1.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Adrian Kempe scored at 10:55 of the first, moving LAK’s win probability from 47% to 64%.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:55 | Adrian Kempe unassisted | 1–0 | 47% → 64% | |
| P1 11:13 | Akil Thomas from Jordan Spence, Pierre-Luc Dubois | 2–0 | 64% → 77% | |
| P3 18:08 | Klim KostinPP from Mikael Granlund, William Eklund | 2–1 | 0% → 7% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akil Thomas C | 8:53 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.03 | +0.84 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 21:57 | 1 | +0.58 | +0.04 | +0.55 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 19:29 | +0.25 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 21:42 | +0.20 | +0.09 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 14:15 | +0.12 | +0.04 | −0.33 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.37 | +0.03 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 18:24 | +0.07 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 29:34 | +0.05 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 18:43 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jacob Moverare D | 3:45 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 10:40 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 20:13 | −0.04 | +0.20 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 21:15 | −0.06 | +0.14 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 9:54 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 13:41 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Andreas Englund D | 9:16 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 15:54 | −0.20 | +0.07 | −0.44 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 20:13 | −0.21 | +0.09 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 16:51 | −0.37 | +0.10 | −0.46 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| David Rittich G | 59:21 | +0.19 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klim Kostin C | 17:06 | 1 | +0.56 | −0.04 | +0.80 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Thomas Bordeleau C | 16:11 | +0.13 | +0.03 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| William Eklund L | 21:03 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Kyle Burroughs D | 15:42 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 22:33 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Studnicka C | 13:40 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Justin Bailey R | 13:06 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Kunin C | 14:00 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Nico Sturm C | 12:31 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jan Rutta D | 20:47 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henry Thrun D | 17:06 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Hoffman C | 10:31 | −0.13 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 7:55 | −0.15 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 14:16 | −0.22 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Fabian Zetterlund L | 18:44 | −0.24 | −0.04 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 24:22 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.10 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Filip Zadina R | 12:06 | −0.31 | −0.03 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Calen Addison D | 22:14 | −0.52 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.37 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood G | 58:07 | +0.74 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.