WPG beat LAK 4–3. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Cole Perfetti scored at 13:05 of the third, moving WPG’s win probability from 53% to 86%. Laurent Brossoit allowed 1.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:14 |  WPG | Cole Perfetti from Dylan DeMelo, Kyle Connor | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 12:30 |  LAK | Viktor Arvidsson from Trevor Moore, Drew Doughty | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 5:48 | LAK | Kevin Fiala from Vladislav Gavrikov | 2–1 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 11:49 | WPG | Sean Monahan from Josh Morrissey, Kyle Connor | 2–2 | 31% → 53% |
| P2 13:56 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Adrian Kempe, Vladislav Gavrikov | 3–2 | 47% → 70% |
| P2 16:47 | WPG | Josh Morrissey from Cole Perfetti, Kyle Connor | 3–3 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 13:05 | WPG | Cole Perfetti from Neal Pionk, Nate Schmidt | 3–4 | 53% → 86% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:43 | 1 | +0.75 | −0.06 | +0.80 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:36 | 1 | +0.65 | −0.22 | +0.85 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 19:19 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.08 | +0.76 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 | |
| Matt Roy D | 20:53 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 19:01 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 3:29 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 16:17 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Akil Thomas C | 3:42 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 24:12 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andreas Englund D | 15:13 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 21:01 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 17:51 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 13:50 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 10:17 | −0.19 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 19:01 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 19:37 | 2 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Blake Lizotte C | 15:44 | −0.26 | +0.00 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:31 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.21 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 58:43 | −1.02 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Perfetti C | 14:47 | 2 | 1 | +1.69 | +0.08 | +1.61 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Sean Monahan C | 15:59 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.19 | +0.60 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Josh Morrissey D | 21:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.65 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Dylan Samberg D | 21:09 | +0.18 | +0.21 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Barron C | 9:50 | +0.14 | +0.06 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 20:40 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.24 | −0.17 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Scheifele C | 20:13 | +0.11 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 9:34 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 19:05 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 16:29 | 3 | −0.06 | +0.17 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mason Appleton C | 17:23 | −0.08 | +0.08 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Neal Pionk D | 21:02 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Lowry C | 16:19 | −0.11 | +0.11 | −0.18 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nate Schmidt D | 15:15 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 12:21 | −0.13 | +0.08 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 16:35 | −0.13 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 13:34 | −0.25 | +0.06 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 18:18 | −0.43 | +0.05 | −0.48 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit G | 60:00 | −1.41 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.