VAN beat ANA 3–2. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dakota Joshua scored at 17:47 of the third, moving VAN’s win probability from 50% to 93%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:26 | VAN | Brock BoeserPP from Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P2 9:34 | VAN | Dakota JoshuaPP from Pius Suter, Filip Hronek | 0–2 | 74% → 88% |
| P3 3:37 | ANA | Olen Zellweger from Isac Lundeström, Frank Vatrano | 1–2 | 7% → 21% |
| P3 4:48 | ANA | Mason McTavish from Gustav Lindstrom, Trevor Zegras | 2–2 | 21% → 48% |
| P3 17:47 | VAN | Dakota Joshua from Conor Garland, J.T. Miller | 2–3 | 50% → 93% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olen Zellweger D | 20:45 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.14 | +0.81 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mason McTavish C | 17:44 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.08 | +0.76 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.37 | −0.02 | |
| Frank Vatrano R | 20:23 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Strome C | 16:31 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 20:06 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jackson LaCombe D | 17:13 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Leo Carlsson C | 20:29 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| William Lagesson D | 14:48 | −0.17 | −0.07 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 15:47 | −0.20 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Bo Groulx C | 4:56 | −0.20 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 20:55 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Meyers C | 3:22 | −0.26 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 23:59 | −0.26 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Leason R | 6:17 | −0.26 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 14:50 | −0.31 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 19:34 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.14 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Isac Lundeström C | 16:34 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Alex Killorn L | 20:38 | −0.51 | +0.08 | −0.58 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 57:24 | −0.23 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Joshua C | 17:50 | 2 | +1.68 | +0.24 | +1.45 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brock Boeser R | 17:29 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.20 | +0.64 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Hronek D | 20:57 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.28 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 20:09 | +0.42 | +0.24 | −0.09 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 19:00 | 2 | +0.28 | +0.21 | −0.26 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.11 | |
| Teddy Blueger C | 13:15 | +0.08 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 22:46 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.28 | −0.26 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 11:27 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 22:14 | −0.05 | +0.18 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Arshdeep Bains L | 8:52 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Cole D | 15:54 | −0.06 | +0.04 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Garland R | 17:39 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.19 | −0.53 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Lafferty C | 10:56 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 20:36 | −0.19 | +0.14 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 14:50 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.03 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Nils Hoglander L | 14:49 | −0.20 | +0.06 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Juulsen D | 13:25 | −0.25 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 9:52 | −0.30 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs G | 60:00 | +0.06 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.