SEA beat ANA 4–0. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 1.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Eeli Tolvanen scored at 7:50 of the first, moving SEA’s win probability from 53% to 70%. Joey Daccord saved 1.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:50 | SEA | Eeli Tolvanen from Matty Beniers, Jamie Oleksiak | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 16:51 | SEA | Jordan EberlePP from Jared McCann, Justin Schultz | 0–2 | 72% → 85% |
| P2 5:08 | SEA | Oliver BjorkstrandPP from Eeli Tolvanen, Matty Beniers | 0–3 | 87% → 95% |
| P2 15:55 | SEA | Matty Beniers from Eeli Tolvanen | 0–4 | 98% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Carlsson C | 15:05 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.05 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 15:57 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| William Lagesson D | 19:07 | +0.03 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 14:30 | +0.01 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 9:06 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brett Leason R | 13:10 | −0.03 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olen Zellweger D | 17:41 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Meyers C | 11:28 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 15:52 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 23:19 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 14:40 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 15:10 | −0.12 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.08 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 16:48 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 22:24 | −0.14 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 20:44 | −0.30 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 12:37 | −0.32 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 17:12 | −0.39 | −0.00 | −0.14 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 17:17 | −0.43 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 60:00 | −0.51 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 13:51 | 1 | 2 | +0.69 | +0.08 | +0.24 | +0.36 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Matty Beniers C | 15:37 | 1 | 2 | +0.64 | +0.07 | +0.30 | +0.19 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 |
| Jordan Eberle R | 17:19 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.05 | +0.37 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 15:48 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.09 | +0.25 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jared McCann L | 18:58 | 1 | +0.23 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.05 | |
| Adam Larsson D | 23:39 | +0.19 | +0.08 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 16:45 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.05 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Will Borgen D | 15:44 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.06 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tye Kartye L | 14:18 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 16:51 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 20:06 | −0.03 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Schultz D | 21:11 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gustav Olofsson D | 14:57 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yanni Gourde C | 16:42 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 17:16 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Ryan Winterton C | 10:59 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.09 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Logan Morrison C | 14:21 | −0.25 | +0.07 | −0.26 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Tanev L | 13:38 | −0.26 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 60:00 | +1.07 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.