CHI beat SJS 5–4 in overtime. CHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Seth Jones scored at 0:18 of overtime, moving CHI’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Devin Cooley allowed 2.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:53 | SJS | Thomas BordeleauPP from Fabian Zetterlund, Calen Addison | 0–1 | 54% → 69% |
| P1 10:17 | SJS | Thomas Bordeleau from Justin Bailey, Nico Sturm | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P2 0:16 | SJS | Fabian Zetterlund from Klim Kostin, Mario Ferraro | 0–3 | 86% → 94% |
| P2 1:24 | SJS | Fabian ZetterlundPP from William Eklund, Mikael Granlund | 0–4 | 94% → 99% |
| P2 6:45 |  CHI | Ryan Donato from Taylor Raddysh, Tyler Johnson | 1–4 | 1% → 5% |
| P2 13:20 | CHI | Tyler Johnson from Ryan Donato, Taylor Raddysh | 2–4 | 3% → 11% |
| P3 6:20 | CHI | Seth JonesPP from Wyatt Kaiser, Connor Bedard | 3–4 | 5% → 20% |
| P3 19:13 | CHI | Philipp KurashevPP from Ryan Donato, Nick Foligno | 4–4 | 4% → 49% |
| OT 0:18 | CHI | Seth Jones from Philipp Kurashev | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Jones D | 24:31 | 2 | +1.94 | +0.42 | +1.54 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 14:22 | 1 | 2 | +0.94 | +0.21 | +0.75 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Philipp Kurashev C | 18:25 | 1 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.37 | +0.41 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Tyler Johnson C | 17:39 | 1 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.00 | +0.59 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nick Foligno L | 18:37 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 13:25 | +0.16 | +0.24 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 20:12 | +0.05 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lukas Reichel L | 14:27 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joey Anderson R | 10:14 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 15:21 | 2 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Landon Slaggert L | 9:03 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zaitsev D | 18:55 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Korchinski D | 17:47 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 19:23 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 17:21 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 22:47 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.34 | −0.82 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Jaycob Megna D | 15:01 | −0.28 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 9:41 | −0.43 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.37 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 59:23 | −1.08 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Bordeleau C | 14:44 | 2 | +1.54 | −0.00 | +1.35 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Fabian Zetterlund L | 18:53 | 2 | 1 | +1.09 | −0.40 | +1.49 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| William Eklund L | 15:35 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Henry Thrun D | 16:55 | +0.18 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Calen Addison D | 15:30 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jan Rutta D | 21:12 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 15:09 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Carpenter C | 10:38 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Justin Bailey R | 13:25 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.05 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jacob MacDonald D | 10:18 | −0.16 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Sturm C | 14:28 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Filip Zadina R | 13:07 | −0.23 | +0.11 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Burroughs D | 22:19 | −0.25 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 23:06 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Klim Kostin C | 16:33 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.30 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mikael Granlund C | 21:24 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.39 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Kunin C | 17:21 | −0.39 | +0.08 | −0.29 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Alexander Barabanov L | 16:30 | −0.47 | +0.12 | −0.55 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Devin Cooley G | 60:05 | −2.12 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.