LAK beat MIN 6–0. LAK lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 3.4 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Phillip Danault scored at 5:08 of the first, moving LAK’s win probability from 53% to 69%. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 3.3 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:08 | LAK | Phillip Danault from Trevor Moore, Kevin Fiala | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 15:03 | LAK | Kevin FialaPP from Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe | 0–2 | 71% → 84% |
| P1 16:26 | LAK | Viktor Arvidsson from Mikey Anderson, Drew Doughty | 0–3 | 85% → 92% |
| P2 0:28 | LAK | Matt Roy from Quinton Byfield, Adrian Kempe | 0–4 | 94% → 99% |
| P2 7:34 | LAK | Jordan SpencePP from Trevor Moore, Phillip Danault | 0–5 | 99% → 99% |
| P2 17:15 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Drew Doughty, Viktor Arvidsson | 0–6 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Faber D | 24:57 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 14:32 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 17:02 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.10 | ||
| Jake Lucchini C | 10:35 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jon Merrill D | 17:01 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dakota Mermis D | 18:10 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Bogosian D | 18:02 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 19:59 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.11 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mason Shaw C | 7:23 | −0.14 | +0.04 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 13:21 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Boldy L | 18:02 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Declan Chisholm D | 19:36 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Beckman L | 7:35 | −0.19 | +0.04 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Rossi C | 19:25 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 22:41 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.24 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 8:59 | −0.40 | −0.06 | −0.33 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Marcus Foligno L | 15:36 | −0.59 | −0.07 | −0.35 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Middleton D | 18:45 | −0.84 | +0.04 | −0.67 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson G | 31:52 | −0.09 |
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 26:56 | −3.30 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Spence D | 16:32 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.02 | +0.77 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 16:20 | 1 | 1 | +0.90 | −0.00 | +0.88 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Phillip Danault C | 18:43 | 1 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.05 | +0.76 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 15:42 | 1 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.04 | +0.72 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Matt Roy D | 18:09 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.01 | +0.73 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 19:32 | 1 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.07 | +0.67 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Quinton Byfield R | 13:40 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 17:36 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 18:55 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Moverare D | 7:16 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Englund D | 14:50 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 14:19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 17:17 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 14:04 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 14:10 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 14:58 | 2 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 18:26 | 2 | −0.43 | +0.05 | −0.46 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 23:31 | 2 | −0.49 | +0.05 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| David Rittich G | 60:00 | +3.18 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.