BOS beat PHI 6–5. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Charlie Coyle scored at 1:08 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 52% to 78%. Felix Sandstrom allowed 2.9 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:18 | PHI | Ryan Poehling from Garnet Hathaway, Egor Zamula | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 15:51 |  BOS | Morgan Geekie from Jake DeBrusk, Parker Wotherspoon | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 12:01 | PHI | Joel Farabee from Cam York, Owen Tippett | 2–1 | 48% → 69% |
| P2 15:22 | BOS | Charlie CoylePP from Brad Marchand, Pavel Zacha | 2–2 | 30% → 53% |
| P3 1:08 | BOS | Charlie Coyle from David Pastrnak, Hampus Lindholm | 2–3 | 52% → 78% |
| P3 3:45 | BOS | John Beecher from Andrew Peeke, Jesper Boqvist | 2–4 | 79% → 93% |
| P3 4:04 | BOS | Jake DeBrusk from Brad Marchand, Hampus Lindholm | 2–5 | 94% → 99% |
| P3 14:12 | PHI | Nicolas Deslauriers unassisted | 3–5 | 0% → 2% |
| P3 15:14 | PHI | Morgan Frost from Owen Tippett, Cam York | 4–5 | 1% → 11% |
| P3 17:01 | BOS | Danton Heinen from Trent Frederic | 4–6 | 92% → 99% |
| P3 17:56 | PHI | Joel FarabeePP from Owen Tippett, Travis Konecny | 5–6 | 0% → 6% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Farabee L | 20:31 | 2 | +1.22 | −0.25 | +1.49 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Morgan Frost C | 17:21 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.05 | +0.80 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 8:32 | 1 | +0.75 | −0.08 | +0.85 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Poehling C | 14:44 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.02 | +0.57 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Noah Cates L | 14:36 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 13:54 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marc Staal D | 9:09 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ronnie Attard D | 15:47 | −0.17 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Johnson D | 15:21 | −0.17 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 11:10 | −0.18 | −0.07 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 24:56 | −0.19 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 27:18 | 2 | −0.20 | −0.12 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 17:50 | 3 | −0.20 | −0.06 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cam Atkinson R | 11:31 | −0.25 | −0.10 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Egor Zamula D | 22:20 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.31 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 17:37 | −0.44 | −0.48 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.05 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 15:18 | −0.49 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 20:10 | 1 | −0.72 | −0.34 | −0.55 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Sandstrom G | 57:17 | −2.92 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Coyle C | 18:09 | 2 | +1.80 | +0.38 | +1.46 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| John Beecher C | 14:59 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.09 | +0.66 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:45 | 1 | 1 | +0.53 | +0.13 | +0.39 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Brad Marchand L | 19:52 | 2 | +0.47 | +0.43 | −0.16 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Danton Heinen L | 12:13 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.01 | +0.63 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 11:55 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.00 | +0.46 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 24:19 | 2 | +0.25 | +0.32 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 19:29 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 22:34 | +0.11 | +0.26 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 15:02 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.13 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Brazeau R | 12:12 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 16:32 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jesper Boqvist C | 12:44 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Brandon Carlo D | 18:51 | +0.05 | +0.20 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 16:56 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 12:33 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:10 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.12 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 10:56 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 59:49 | −2.50 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.