VGK beat SEA 5–4 in overtime. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jack Eichel scored at 3:01 of overtime, moving VGK’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Philipp Grubauer allowed 1.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 4:14 |  SEA | Andre Burakovsky from Jared McCann, Tye Kartye | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 6:36 |  VGK | Jonathan MarchessaultPP from Ivan Barbashev, Jack Eichel | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 15:00 | VGK | Pavel Dorofeyev from William Karlsson | 2–1 | 47% → 70% |
| P3 1:55 | SEA | Matty Beniers from Will Borgen, Tomas Tatar | 2–2 | 26% → 52% |
| P3 5:21 | SEA | Brandon Tanev from Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, Kailer Yamamoto | 2–3 | 52% → 80% |
| P3 11:30 | SEA | Oliver Bjorkstrand from Eeli Tolvanen, Yanni Gourde | 2–4 | 84% → 97% |
| P3 12:23 | VGK | William Karlsson from Brayden McNabb, Shea Theodore | 3–4 | 3% → 15% |
| P3 19:43 | VGK | Jonathan MarchessaultPP from Chandler Stephenson, Jack Eichel | 4–4 | 3% → 49% |
| OT 3:01 | VGK | Jack Eichel from Alex Pietrangelo | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 20:13 | 2 | +1.36 | −0.03 | +1.41 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| William Karlsson C | 20:08 | 1 | 1 | +1.12 | +0.27 | +0.64 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.04 |
| Jack Eichel C | 22:46 | 1 | 2 | +0.67 | +0.36 | +0.26 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 12:37 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.02 | +0.61 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Shea Theodore D | 26:39 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.10 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Hanifin D | 22:52 | +0.05 | +0.26 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 14:08 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 10:36 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 15:05 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 12:07 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.18 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 9:41 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 16:44 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Amadio R | 13:44 | −0.13 | +0.04 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 18:35 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 12:04 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 23:06 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 19:21 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.08 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Roy C | 15:40 | −0.61 | −0.41 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill G | 61:45 | −1.30 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 15:05 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.03 | +0.52 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Tanev L | 16:27 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.05 | +0.56 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 12:50 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.20 | +0.37 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matty Beniers C | 19:04 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.21 | +0.65 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 21:43 | +0.23 | +0.28 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 15:36 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Will Borgen D | 18:03 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.14 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tye Kartye L | 11:22 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 15:25 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Yanni Gourde C | 20:35 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Tomas Tatar L | 13:11 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L | 13:44 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.07 | |
| Justin Schultz D | 17:04 | −0.12 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 18:07 | −0.20 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 11:08 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.03 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryker Evans D | 18:24 | −0.24 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 25:58 | −0.41 | −0.31 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 19:26 | −0.65 | −0.30 | −0.35 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer G | 63:01 | −1.66 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.