CHI beat ANA 7–2. CHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Seth Jones scored on the power play at 11:49 of the second, moving CHI’s win probability from 54% to 74%. John Gibson allowed 3.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:39 |  ANA | Brett LeasonSH from Cam Fowler | 1–0 | 46% → 63% |
| P1 11:27 | CHI | Ryan DonatoPP from Taylor Raddysh, Andreas Athanasiou | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P2 1:51 | ANA | Brett Leason from Urho Vaakanainen | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 3:25 | CHI | Philipp Kurashev from Connor Bedard, Nick Foligno | 2–2 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 11:49 | CHI | Seth JonesPP from Nick Foligno, Connor Bedard | 2–3 | 54% → 74% |
| P2 19:31 | CHI | Connor Bedard from Philipp Kurashev, Nick Foligno | 2–4 | 77% → 92% |
| P3 2:43 | CHI | MacKenzie Entwistle from Andreas Athanasiou | 2–5 | 93% → 99% |
| P3 3:10 | CHI | Philipp KurashevPP from Connor Bedard, Nick Foligno | 2–6 | 99% → 100% |
| P3 10:06 | CHI | Tyler JohnsonPP from Connor Bedard, Philipp Kurashev | 2–7 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Leason R | 13:03 | 2 | +1.63 | +0.04 | +1.60 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 20:30 | 1 | +0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Meyers C | 18:04 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 9:33 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 24:07 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Olen Zellweger D | 23:38 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Lagesson D | 15:42 | −0.11 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 10:23 | −0.18 | +0.06 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 14:03 | −0.20 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Pavol Regenda L | 11:03 | −0.21 | +0.04 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 18:18 | −0.25 | −0.14 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 17:43 | −0.26 | −0.22 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 19:27 | −0.32 | +0.04 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 15:42 | −0.34 | +0.05 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.04 | ||
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 17:26 | −0.35 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 19:03 | −0.36 | −0.09 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Groulx C | 7:08 | −0.42 | +0.06 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 18:00 | −0.78 | −0.16 | −0.41 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 10:42 | −0.39 |
| John Gibson G | 48:30 | −3.18 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Kurashev C | 18:36 | 2 | 2 | +1.79 | +0.09 | +1.71 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Ryan Donato C | 14:20 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.10 | +0.62 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 9:25 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.03 | +0.80 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Seth Jones D | 20:16 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.01 | +0.71 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Johnson C | 14:32 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.03 | +0.41 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Reese Johnson C | 7:50 | +0.40 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 20:21 | 1 | 4 | +0.36 | +0.08 | +0.30 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Colin Blackwell C | 15:39 | +0.13 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 16:15 | +0.12 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 21:29 | +0.06 | +0.06 | −0.22 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jarred Tinordi D | 16:04 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Korchinski D | 21:23 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaycob Megna D | 19:01 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zaitsev D | 16:27 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joey Anderson R | 14:45 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 16:03 | 2 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.31 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Taylor Raddysh R | 15:41 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.00 | −0.36 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Nick Foligno L | 18:15 | 4 | −0.58 | +0.12 | −0.56 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 77:11 | +0.40 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.