WSH beat CHI 4–1. WSH lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 3.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Hendrix Lapierre scored at 7:01 of the first, moving WSH’s win probability from 53% to 70%. Charlie Lindgren saved 2.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:01 | WSH | Hendrix Lapierre from John Carlson, Aliaksei Protas | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 8:45 | WSH | Michael Sgarbossa from Trevor van Riemsdyk, John Carlson | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P1 13:36 | WSH | Tom WilsonPP from Dylan Strome, Alex Ovechkin | 0–3 | 84% → 92% |
| P2 17:24 | WSH | Sonny Milano from Aliaksei Protas | 0–4 | 98% → 100% |
| P3 9:49 | CHI | Tyler Johnson from Jarred Tinordi, Zachary Sanford | 1–4 | 0% → 0% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson C | 14:58 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.06 | +0.74 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Alex Vlasic D | 18:34 | +0.15 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 22:14 | +0.08 | +0.03 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaycob Megna D | 16:45 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Korchinski D | 19:05 | +0.02 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 14:16 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 11:57 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nikita Zaitsev D | 16:56 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 9:54 | −0.13 | +0.03 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Reese Johnson C | 13:11 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Colin Blackwell C | 14:16 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Joey Anderson R | 10:56 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zachary Sanford L | 11:43 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Seth Jones D | 24:39 | −0.23 | +0.06 | −0.25 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jarred Tinordi D | 16:41 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Bedard C | 21:43 | −0.33 | −0.00 | −0.55 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 15:20 | −0.47 | −0.01 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 20:37 | −0.56 | +0.03 | −0.64 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 60:00 | −1.22 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sgarbossa C | 10:08 | 1 | +0.99 | +0.03 | +0.77 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 12:33 | 1 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.60 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Sonny Milano L | 15:10 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.06 | +0.78 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Aliaksei Protas L | 15:50 | 2 | +0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 11:07 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 24:48 | 2 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Beck Malenstyn L | 13:42 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 21:23 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Jensen D | 22:07 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethan Bear D | 12:49 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 15:39 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Alexander Alexeyev D | 13:20 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Miroshnichenko L | 13:25 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 19:46 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.06 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Tom Wilson R | 17:28 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.37 | −0.02 | |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 17:45 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.02 | −0.27 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor McMichael L | 19:34 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.32 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Max Pacioretty L | 15:48 | −0.41 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren G | 59:44 | +2.16 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.