EDM beat BOS 2–1 in overtime. EDM also won the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl scored at 2:18 of overtime, moving EDM’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | EDM–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 4:26 |  BOS | Pavel Zacha from Danton Heinen, Parker Wotherspoon | 0–1 | 52% → 79% |
| P3 18:40 |  EDM | Leon DraisaitlPP from Connor McDavid, Evan Bouchard | 1–1 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 2:18 | EDM | Leon Draisaitl from Connor McDavid, Evan Bouchard | 2–1 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl C | 21:33 | 2 | +1.21 | +0.16 | +0.96 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Zach Hyman L | 20:05 | +0.26 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 21:15 | +0.11 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Evan Bouchard D | 26:41 | 2 | +0.09 | +0.20 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan McLeod C | 13:48 | +0.09 | +0.14 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 12:54 | +0.08 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Darnell Nurse D | 20:59 | +0.08 | +0.11 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Ekholm D | 21:51 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.05 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vincent Desharnais D | 17:13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Janmark C | 13:45 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor McDavid C | 23:01 | 2 | −0.07 | +0.15 | −0.50 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Warren Foegele L | 13:41 | −0.08 | +0.10 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 16:47 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 15:25 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Kulak D | 15:36 | −0.16 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Brown R | 9:22 | −0.19 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Ryan C | 9:07 | −0.28 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Dylan Holloway L | 11:01 | −0.35 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner G | 61:24 | +0.86 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Zacha C | 19:50 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.19 | +0.83 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jakub Lauko C | 9:28 | +0.23 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 15:50 | +0.09 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 20:02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Brazeau R | 7:55 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 19:30 | −0.03 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 20:40 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.18 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 17:43 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 11:41 | −0.07 | +0.08 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 15:22 | −0.10 | +0.03 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 19:23 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 18:04 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 25:34 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 18:47 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 21:57 | −0.27 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 10:28 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 12:57 | −0.49 | −0.08 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 17:43 | −0.50 | −0.06 | −0.45 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark G | 62:18 | +0.19 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.