PIT beat MTL 3–2 in overtime. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 3.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Marcus Pettersson scored at 2:43 of overtime, moving PIT’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MTL–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 15:53 | MTL | Kaiden Guhle from Mike Matheson, Cole Caufield | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 4:05 |  PIT | Lars Eller from Valtteri Puustinen, Rickard Rakell | 1–1 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 12:23 | MTL | Juraj SlafkovskýPP from Sean Monahan, Nick Suzuki | 2–1 | 48% → 69% |
| P3 10:03 | PIT | Jake Guentzel from Sidney Crosby, Marcus Pettersson | 2–2 | 20% → 52% |
| OT 2:43 | PIT | Marcus Pettersson from Rickard Rakell, Evgeni Malkin | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiden Guhle D | 25:45 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.74 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Juraj Slafkovský L | 17:09 | 1 | +0.54 | +0.36 | +0.18 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Suzuki C | 21:57 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.04 | |
| Cole Caufield R | 18:53 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Pezzetta L | 5:44 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Lucas Condotta L | 5:20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 16:11 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rafael Harvey-Pinard L | 12:09 | −0.12 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Savard D | 17:56 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesse Ylonen R | 11:27 | −0.21 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Matheson D | 27:36 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Harris D | 16:29 | −0.23 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jayden Struble D | 18:17 | −0.24 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 21:33 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.17 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Joel Armia R | 17:10 | −0.27 | +0.13 | −0.40 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 14:20 | −0.37 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Evans C | 19:05 | −0.42 | −0.36 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 17:51 | −0.45 | −0.24 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 62:00 | +0.54 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Pettersson D | 23:52 | 1 | 1 | +1.11 | +0.46 | +0.62 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Rickard Rakell R | 13:53 | 2 | +0.45 | +0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Lars Eller C | 17:01 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.17 | +0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Valtteri Puustinen R | 9:24 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jeff Carter C | 13:07 | +0.14 | +0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | 8:33 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bryan Rust R | 22:59 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Guentzel C | 21:38 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jansen Harkins C | 6:57 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kris Letang D | 27:05 | −0.01 | +0.30 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin White C | 12:30 | −0.01 | +0.13 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Chad Ruhwedel D | 10:27 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 20:06 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.19 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.12 | |
| Evgeni Malkin C | 19:48 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.24 | −0.33 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Noel Acciari C | 14:40 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 16:25 | −0.20 | +0.11 | −0.27 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 21:56 | −0.24 | −0.12 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 26:48 | −0.26 | −0.16 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry G | 62:43 | +0.24 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.