VGK beat NYI 3–2. VGK lost the expected-goals battle 1.7 to 4.1 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Sheldon Rempal scored on the power play at 7:18 of the second, moving VGK’s win probability from 48% to 68%. Adin Hill saved 1.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:52 |  VGK | Ivan Barbashev from Alex Pietrangelo | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 3:35 |  NYI | Brock NelsonPP from Alexander Romanov, Noah Dobson | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 7:18 | VGK | Sheldon RempalPP from Nicolas Roy, Alex Pietrangelo | 2–1 | 48% → 68% |
| P2 9:07 | VGK | Nicolas Roy from Jonathan Marchessault, Ivan Barbashev | 3–1 | 68% → 84% |
| P3 9:26 | NYI | Jean-Gabriel PageauSH from Simon Holmstrom, Adam Pelech | 3–2 | 4% → 20% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheldon Rempal R | 7:58 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.15 | +0.87 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Roy C | 17:13 | 1 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.07 | +0.61 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 15:56 | 1 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.01 | +0.35 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nicolas Hague D | 16:58 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 15:57 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Rondbjerg R | 11:14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 10:48 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Byron Froese C | 11:14 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 19:50 | −0.10 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 10:21 | −0.18 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kaedan Korczak D | 16:43 | −0.23 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 24:37 | 2 | −0.25 | −0.23 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 14:57 | −0.26 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 23:02 | −0.32 | −0.36 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 18:40 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.04 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Stone R | 22:44 | −0.49 | −0.46 | −0.09 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 14:11 | −0.63 | −0.33 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 21:37 | −0.66 | −0.48 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill G | 60:00 | +1.58 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Nelson C | 19:30 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.25 | +0.55 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 15:02 | 1 | +0.79 | −0.03 | +0.85 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Sebastian Aho D | 16:12 | +0.35 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 23:08 | +0.21 | +0.45 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Noah Dobson D | 27:57 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.44 | −0.33 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 10:54 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 19:16 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle MacLean C | 8:11 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Reilly D | 15:02 | +0.04 | +0.19 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 17:22 | +0.02 | +0.23 | −0.41 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 19:12 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.05 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Simon Holmstrom R | 12:27 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Matt Martin L | 9:17 | −0.16 | +0.16 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Barzal C | 25:11 | −0.17 | +0.32 | −0.32 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Julien Gauthier R | 9:49 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hudson Fasching R | 12:37 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 17:13 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 19:12 | −0.21 | +0.37 | −0.57 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 57:24 | −0.94 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.