BOS beat WPG 4–1. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 2.3 to 1.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Charlie Coyle scored at 18:26 of the first, moving BOS’s win probability from 53% to 71%. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:20 | BOS | Jakub Lauko from Trent Frederic, Morgan Geekie | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 4:16 |  WPG | Vladislav Namestnikov from Dylan DeMelo, Nikolaj Ehlers | 1–1 | 31% → 47% |
| P1 18:26 | BOS | Charlie Coyle from Hampus Lindholm, Brandon Carlo | 1–2 | 53% → 71% |
| P3 14:35 | BOS | Jake DeBruskSH unassisted | 1–3 | 87% → 98% |
| P3 19:05 | BOS | Brad MarchandEN from Charlie Coyle, David Pastrnak | 1–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 16:51 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.18 | +0.79 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 18:54 | +0.11 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Dominic Toninato C | 11:25 | +0.08 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 17:12 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.10 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Samberg D | 12:42 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Barron C | 9:42 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L | 6:49 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Schmidt D | 15:59 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 10:26 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 16:54 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 19:55 | −0.13 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 15:25 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Cole Perfetti C | 13:50 | −0.20 | −0.08 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Neal Pionk D | 21:11 | −0.21 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 22:41 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Morrissey D | 28:09 | −0.34 | −0.22 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 20:45 | −0.46 | −0.17 | −0.33 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 16:11 | −0.55 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.37 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 58:59 | −1.17 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Lauko C | 10:04 | 1 | +1.01 | +0.08 | +0.75 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 19:20 | 1 | 1 | +1.01 | +0.08 | +0.79 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 15:24 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.06 | +0.60 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trent Frederic C | 14:22 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Brandon Carlo D | 20:41 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Forbort D | 19:03 | +0.20 | +0.21 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 21:01 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.18 | −0.11 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Zacha C | 17:31 | +0.10 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 16:43 | +0.09 | +0.11 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 12:26 | +0.05 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 15:49 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 13:55 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.09 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matthew Poitras C | 8:32 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 9:44 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 19:24 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 16:54 | −0.13 | +0.13 | −0.26 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 22:40 | −0.32 | +0.05 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 20:31 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.07 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.37 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 59:56 | +0.07 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.