NYR beat ANA 5–2. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 3.3 to 1.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Artemi Panarin scored on the power play at 14:23 of the third, moving NYR’s win probability from 50% to 86%. Lukas Dostal allowed 1.6 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:51 | ANA | Adam Henrique from Leo Carlsson, Troy Terry | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 15:37 | ANA | Adam Henrique from Troy Terry, Leo Carlsson | 0–2 | 71% → 84% |
| P2 17:58 | NYR | Vincent TrocheckPP from Chris Kreider, Adam Fox | 1–2 | 9% → 24% |
| P3 10:10 | NYR | Will Cuylle from Jacob Trouba, K'Andre Miller | 2–2 | 17% → 48% |
| P3 14:23 | NYR | Artemi PanarinPP from Adam Fox, Chris Kreider | 3–2 | 50% → 86% |
| P3 16:07 | NYR | Chris Kreider from Mika Zibanejad | 4–2 | 89% → 99% |
| P3 19:24 | NYR | Jimmy VeseyEN unassisted | 5–2 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin L | 19:51 | 1 | +1.23 | +0.12 | +0.81 | +0.12 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Will Cuylle L | 12:43 | 1 | +1.08 | +0.10 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 20:36 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.07 | +0.79 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Kreider L | 17:43 | 1 | 2 | +0.50 | +0.05 | +0.63 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 |
| Mika Zibanejad C | 20:13 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.14 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Blake Wheeler R | 13:42 | +0.15 | +0.13 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 22:45 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.19 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Lindgren D | 20:49 | +0.14 | +0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 13:57 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 11:26 | +0.07 | +0.17 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 8:08 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 24:35 | 2 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.10 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 17:20 | +0.00 | +0.08 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Nick Bonino C | 9:59 | −0.04 | +0.15 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 12:11 | −0.07 | +0.12 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 15:55 | −0.08 | +0.09 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| K'Andre Miller D | 20:47 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.16 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jimmy Vesey L | 11:20 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.16 | −0.39 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 60:00 | −0.49 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Henrique C | 22:11 | 2 | +1.51 | −0.00 | +1.52 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Troy Terry R | 21:12 | 2 | +0.09 | +0.06 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Radko Gudas D | 25:23 | +0.04 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Hagg D | 13:19 | +0.03 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 15:59 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 13:40 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 12:10 | −0.12 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 7:51 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 14:44 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Bo Groulx C | 10:34 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 15:28 | −0.20 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Leason R | 12:41 | −0.20 | −0.03 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 21:40 | −0.29 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Leo Carlsson C | 20:59 | 2 | −0.31 | +0.07 | −0.33 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Ryan Strome C | 15:17 | −0.31 | −0.26 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 18:03 | −0.32 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 21:07 | −0.51 | −0.13 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 14:32 | −0.76 | −0.23 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.37 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 58:34 | −1.63 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.