VGK beat PIT 3–2. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Brendan Brisson scored at 9:40 of the third, moving VGK’s win probability from 53% to 83%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PIT–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 9:02 | PIT | Ryan Graves from Erik Karlsson, Evgeni Malkin | 1–0 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 14:01 | PIT | Jake Guentzel from Sidney Crosby, Marcus Pettersson | 2–0 | 70% → 86% |
| P3 5:18 | VGK | Jonathan Marchessault from Ivan Barbashev, Alec Martinez | 2–1 | 7% → 24% |
| P3 6:52 | VGK | Pavel Dorofeyev from Chandler Stephenson, Mark Stone | 2–2 | 23% → 52% |
| P3 9:40 | VGK | Brendan Brisson from Ivan Barbashev, Alex Pietrangelo | 2–3 | 53% → 83% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Graves D | 20:26 | 1 | +0.92 | −0.00 | +0.73 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Guentzel C | 20:22 | 1 | +0.75 | −0.07 | +0.83 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colin White C | 9:03 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Valtteri Puustinen R | 8:35 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chad Ruhwedel D | 13:20 | +0.06 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 11:56 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 22:23 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | 12:11 | −0.13 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 24:10 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jansen Harkins C | 10:21 | −0.16 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lars Eller C | 13:47 | −0.23 | +0.05 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 19:52 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.08 | −0.22 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Noel Acciari C | 12:21 | −0.27 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.06 | ||
| Kris Letang D | 25:43 | −0.28 | −0.07 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 18:21 | −0.30 | −0.09 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 16:57 | −0.30 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeni Malkin C | 15:47 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Bryan Rust R | 18:52 | −0.64 | +0.04 | −0.47 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry G | 58:50 | −0.15 |
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Brisson C | 13:12 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.06 | +0.72 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 16:04 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.02 | +0.67 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 16:03 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.07 | +0.32 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 18:16 | +0.27 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 24:21 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kaedan Korczak D | 14:30 | +0.17 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Byron Froese C | 9:39 | +0.14 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Mark Stone R | 21:22 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonas Rondbjerg R | 10:53 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 24:04 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.16 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Hague D | 17:37 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 15:28 | 2 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 16:05 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 17:30 | −0.09 | +0.10 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 15:41 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 20:23 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.04 | −0.41 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Keegan Kolesar R | 10:58 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Roy C | 15:58 | −0.39 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.09 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 59:56 | +0.32 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.