CBJ beat VAN 4–3 in a shootout. CBJ also won the expected-goals battle 4.9 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dmitri Voronkov scored at 10:57 of the third, moving CBJ’s win probability from 19% to 52%. Casey DeSmith saved 2.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:28 |  VAN | J.T. Miller from Nikita Zadorov | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 5:55 | CBJ | Egor Chinakhov from Johnny Gaudreau | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 14:54 | VAN | Conor Garland from Teddy Blueger, Dakota Joshua | 2–1 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 3:28 | CBJ | Dmitri VoronkovPP from Adam Boqvist, Johnny Gaudreau | 2–2 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 7:35 | VAN | Elias PetterssonPP from J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes | 3–2 | 48% → 68% |
| P3 10:57 | CBJ | Dmitri Voronkov from Jack Roslovic | 3–3 | 19% → 52% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Garland R | 13:58 | 1 | +0.70 | −0.00 | +0.67 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nils Hoglander L | 11:01 | +0.14 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 21:30 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 19:06 | 1 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.33 | +0.82 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.35 |
| Sam Lafferty C | 12:29 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 19:59 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.12 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.44 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 20:20 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ian Cole D | 14:55 | −0.20 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nils Aman C | 11:53 | −0.22 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 26:03 | −0.31 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 24:21 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.21 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 15:39 | −0.35 | +0.04 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.30 | ||
| Teddy Blueger C | 15:04 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.12 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | |
| Dakota Joshua C | 15:09 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.12 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 16:58 | −0.49 | −0.18 | −0.32 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 15:18 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.42 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Brock Boeser R | 17:46 | −0.68 | −0.17 | −0.51 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 18:08 | −0.86 | −0.10 | −0.32 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.44 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith G | 65:00 | +2.01 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmitri Voronkov L | 15:28 | 2 | +0.97 | +0.48 | +0.49 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Kirill Marchenko R | 15:52 | +0.93 | +0.13 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.06 | ||
| Egor Chinakhov R | 21:59 | 1 | +0.56 | +0.47 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.37 | +0.00 | −0.35 | |
| Erik Gudbranson D | 21:16 | +0.28 | +0.29 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Boqvist D | 24:51 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.23 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 18:47 | +0.12 | +0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 13:25 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 22:28 | 2 | +0.01 | +0.46 | −0.48 | +0.15 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.30 | |
| Jake Bean D | 18:17 | +0.01 | +0.22 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 16:45 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Texier L | 13:42 | −0.01 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Bemstrom C | 10:16 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fantilli C | 14:04 | −0.16 | −0.18 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Danforth R | 11:51 | −0.22 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 14:18 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.14 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cole Sillinger C | 24:35 | −0.30 | +0.38 | −0.82 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 21:27 | −0.36 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Kent Johnson C | 12:22 | −0.62 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.44 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins G | 65:00 | +1.62 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.