BOS beat STL 4–3 in overtime. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 1.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Charlie McAvoy scored at 1:10 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:02 |  BOS | Brad Marchand from Charlie Coyle | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 6:07 |  STL | Kevin Hayes from Kasperi Kapanen, Nick Leddy | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P2 6:26 | BOS | Charlie McAvoy from Jesper Boqvist, James van Riemsdyk | 2–1 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 10:57 | STL | Jake NeighboursPP from Jordan Kyrou, Robert Thomas | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P3 7:43 | BOS | Brad MarchandPP from David Pastrnak, James van Riemsdyk | 3–2 | 57% → 79% |
| P3 14:47 | STL | Oskar SundqvistPP from Scott Perunovich, Brayden Schenn | 3–3 | 15% → 51% |
| OT 1:10 | BOS | Charlie McAvoy from David Pastrnak | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy D | 27:40 | 2 | +2.20 | +0.39 | +1.38 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.37 | +0.00 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 20:34 | 2 | +1.42 | +0.29 | +1.30 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Trent Frederic C | 17:17 | +0.26 | +0.29 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 14:07 | +0.23 | +0.24 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 20:46 | 2 | +0.22 | +0.34 | −0.34 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mason Lohrei D | 12:21 | +0.12 | +0.15 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 18:57 | +0.11 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Beecher C | 8:53 | +0.10 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 18:47 | +0.03 | +0.47 | −0.45 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 22:54 | −0.01 | +0.27 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Steen C | 7:13 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 15:51 | −0.03 | +0.14 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 21:11 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Lauko C | 9:34 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 13:59 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.07 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Danton Heinen L | 15:51 | −0.19 | +0.09 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 15:12 | 2 | −0.20 | +0.12 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 19:21 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.16 | −0.44 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 61:10 | −0.78 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Neighbours L | 14:24 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.03 | +0.74 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Hayes R | 13:23 | 1 | +0.45 | −0.22 | +0.67 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 12:53 | 1 | +0.39 | −0.16 | +0.74 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 16:32 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Perunovich D | 14:20 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matthew Kessel D | 13:54 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nathan Walker L | 6:17 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sammy Blais L | 7:14 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 16:44 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.02 | |
| Justin Faulk D | 18:36 | −0.23 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 27:12 | −0.25 | −0.24 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 22:03 | −0.27 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 22:54 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.33 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Thomas C | 22:28 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.29 | −0.19 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Alexey Toropchenko R | 12:25 | −0.42 | −0.20 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 15:31 | −0.47 | −0.08 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 21:11 | −0.48 | −0.10 | −0.60 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Kyrou R | 18:42 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.31 | −0.21 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington G | 61:10 | −0.22 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.