PHI beat MIN 4–3 in overtime. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Joel Farabee scored on the power play at 3:36 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 50% to 100%. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 1.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 0:51 | MIN | Marcus Johansson from Joel Eriksson Ek | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 3:37 |  PHI | Joel Farabee from Travis Konecny, Sean Couturier | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P3 1:48 | MIN | Ryan Hartman from Alex Goligoski, Zach Bogosian | 1–2 | 52% → 78% |
| P3 4:38 | MIN | Matt Boldy from Jake Middleton, Ryan Hartman | 1–3 | 79% → 94% |
| P3 9:31 | PHI | Tyson Foerster from Scott Laughton, Sean Walker | 2–3 | 4% → 17% |
| P3 10:56 | PHI | Owen Tippett from Travis Konecny, Jamie Drysdale | 3–3 | 16% → 48% |
| OT 3:36 | PHI | Joel FarabeePP from Egor Zamula, Owen Tippett | 4–3 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Farabee L | 18:53 | 2 | +1.56 | +0.10 | +1.49 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 19:21 | 1 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.10 | +0.81 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Tyson Foerster R | 18:14 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.10 | +0.75 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cam Atkinson R | 20:00 | +0.14 | −0.02 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 22:39 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.11 | −0.11 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 14:26 | +0.02 | +0.10 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 16:31 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 13:14 | −0.06 | +0.04 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 18:29 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 9:15 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 4:56 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 24:30 | 2 | −0.12 | +0.17 | −0.29 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Morgan Frost C | 15:59 | −0.18 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 22:09 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Egor Zamula D | 15:07 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 22:47 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 17:00 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Garnet Hathaway R | 15:17 | −0.33 | −0.13 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 63:36 | −0.87 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy L | 22:25 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.05 | +0.68 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Marcus Johansson L | 14:00 | 1 | +0.72 | −0.11 | +0.83 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ryan Hartman R | 20:47 | 1 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.06 | +0.59 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 |
| Patrick Maroon L | 10:32 | +0.24 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Raska R | 8:08 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jon Merrill D | 11:52 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Goligoski D | 21:27 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.07 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Duhaime R | 9:52 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 20:12 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.12 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Dakota Mermis D | 12:03 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Dewar C | 9:14 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Middleton D | 25:25 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brock Faber D | 28:49 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 12:08 | −0.07 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Zach Bogosian D | 22:38 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Foligno L | 15:14 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 24:17 | −0.22 | +0.08 | −0.18 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Rossi C | 17:50 | −0.44 | −0.02 | −0.45 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 63:36 | −1.42 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.