NSH beat WSH 3–2 in a shootout. NSH also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin scored at 14:59 of the second, moving WSH’s win probability from 31% to 53%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NSH–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:44 |  NSH | Luke Evangelista from Dante Fabbro, Tommy Novak | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 6:55 | NSH | Roman JosiPP from Gustav Nyquist, Ryan O'Reilly | 2–0 | 64% → 76% |
| P1 10:25 | WSH | Beck Malenstyn from Nic Dowd, Trevor van Riemsdyk | 2–1 | 23% → 36% |
| P2 14:59 | WSH | Alex Ovechkin from Dylan Strome, Aliaksei Protas | 2–2 | 31% → 53% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Josi D | 26:52 | 1 | +1.12 | +0.34 | +0.75 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Gustav Nyquist R | 19:26 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.71 | |
| Alexandre Carrier D | 20:21 | +0.51 | +0.50 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Luke Evangelista R | 10:40 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.03 | +0.58 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Cole Smith L | 13:00 | +0.23 | +0.25 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 21:06 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.21 | −0.29 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.22 | |
| Dante Fabbro D | 18:17 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Philip Tomasino C | 12:20 | +0.13 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Juuso Parssinen C | 14:09 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 17:59 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 19:37 | +0.03 | +0.19 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 16:08 | +0.01 | +0.29 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan McDonagh D | 23:59 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.11 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 14:01 | −0.12 | +0.06 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McCarron C | 13:31 | −0.15 | +0.21 | −0.22 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.05 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 17:21 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 13:31 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.05 | −0.35 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Forsberg L | 18:40 | −0.63 | +0.13 | −0.96 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov G | 65:00 | +0.98 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beck Malenstyn L | 16:23 | 1 | +0.40 | −0.13 | +0.54 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Jensen D | 14:53 | +0.17 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 17:38 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.10 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 12:44 | +0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 20:13 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Matthew Phillips R | 6:59 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 22:06 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.35 | +0.76 | +0.04 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.27 | |
| Anthony Mantha R | 15:34 | −0.10 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 7:57 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 18:36 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 18:41 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| John Carlson D | 27:46 | −0.28 | −0.14 | −0.16 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 16:39 | −0.42 | −0.06 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 17:23 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.04 | −0.40 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Ethan Bear D | 20:05 | −0.46 | −0.36 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 16:26 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.14 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Sandin D | 22:41 | −0.71 | −0.62 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 21:28 | −1.08 | −0.52 | −0.24 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.30 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Shepard G | 64:54 | +0.63 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.