DAL beat CHI 5–4 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 4.2 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Roope Hintz scored at 4:52 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Scott Wedgewood allowed 1.6 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:56 | CHI | Tyler Johnson from Anthony Beauvillier, Jason Dickinson | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 10:56 | CHI | Cole Guttman from Lukas Reichel, Connor Murphy | 2–0 | 64% → 77% |
| P1 11:49 | DAL | Roope HintzPP from Joe Pavelski, Jamie Benn | 2–1 | 23% → 36% |
| P2 9:03 | DAL | Joe Pavelski from Nils Lundkvist, Thomas Harley | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 9:23 | DAL | Roope Hintz from Jason Robertson | 2–3 | 53% → 74% |
| P3 2:10 | DAL | Jamie Benn from Wyatt Johnston, Evgenii Dadonov | 2–4 | 78% → 93% |
| P3 8:58 | CHI | Jason Dickinson from Cole Guttman, Alex Vlasic | 3–4 | 5% → 18% |
| P3 17:24 | CHI | Tyler JohnsonPP from Philipp Kurashev, Kevin Korchinski | 4–4 | 9% → 49% |
| OT 4:52 | DAL | Roope Hintz from Jason Robertson, Miro Heiskanen | 4–5 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson C | 17:56 | 2 | +1.04 | −0.13 | +1.36 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 18:48 | 1 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.35 | +0.88 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.08 |
| Cole Guttman C | 12:40 | 1 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.01 | +0.46 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Taylor Raddysh R | 0:58 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 25:00 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 11:23 | −0.06 | −0.18 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 13:40 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Lukas Reichel L | 16:33 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Colin Blackwell C | 14:46 | −0.20 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 15:45 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Louis Crevier D | 12:28 | −0.24 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isaak Phillips D | 21:39 | −0.42 | −0.38 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 21:34 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.08 | −0.33 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Alex Vlasic D | 25:34 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.38 | −0.08 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Foligno L | 21:46 | −0.45 | −0.39 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Jarred Tinordi D | 11:45 | −0.46 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 23:51 | −0.52 | −0.32 | −0.30 | +0.04 | −0.04 | +0.19 | −0.09 | ||
| Kevin Korchinski D | 24:14 | 1 | −0.70 | −0.48 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 64:52 | −1.10 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roope Hintz C | 18:20 | 3 | +2.46 | +0.23 | +2.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 19:23 | 1 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.38 | +0.43 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Jamie Benn L | 16:14 | 1 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.02 | +0.66 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 26:43 | 1 | +0.52 | +0.67 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Duchene C | 16:12 | +0.24 | +0.43 | −0.24 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 20:41 | +0.18 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Harley D | 18:58 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 21:39 | +0.12 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 16:56 | +0.10 | +0.20 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 14:05 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Craig Smith C | 8:47 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 15:11 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Steel C | 12:53 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 19:45 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.42 | −0.61 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jani Hakanpää D | 18:36 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 10:53 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 15:04 | −0.23 | +0.10 | −0.36 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 19:51 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.18 | −0.46 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 64:52 | −1.63 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.