LAK beat CGY 5–3. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 3.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Alex Laferriere scored at 6:28 of the second, moving LAK’s win probability from 53% to 73%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CGY–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:01 |  LAK | Quinton Byfield from Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 2:47 |  CGY | Rasmus Andersson from Mikael Backlund, Andrew Mangiapane | 1–1 | 31% → 47% |
| P1 15:20 | LAK | Pierre-Luc Dubois from Jordan Spence, Phillip Danault | 1–2 | 54% → 71% |
| P2 4:01 | CGY | Blake ColemanSH from Yegor Sharangovich | 2–2 | 27% → 46% |
| P2 6:28 | LAK | Alex Laferriere from Drew Doughty, Mikey Anderson | 2–3 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 9:57 | LAK | Trevor Moore from Matt Roy | 2–4 | 73% → 88% |
| P3 7:18 | CGY | Blake ColemanPP from Adam Ruzicka, MacKenzie Weegar | 3–4 | 5% → 19% |
| P3 19:00 | LAK | Quinton ByfieldEN from Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar | 3–5 | 95% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Coleman L | 18:36 | 2 | +1.30 | −0.08 | +1.39 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Andersson D | 25:15 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.12 | +0.77 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| A.J. Greer L | 8:53 | +0.23 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 10:10 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.14 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | |
| Nick DeSimone D | 10:46 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dennis Gilbert D | 13:13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dillon Dube C | 9:20 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Ruzicka C | 10:48 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.05 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 21:08 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Jonathan Huberdeau L | 15:55 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Zary C | 18:01 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 21:38 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Hanifin D | 21:46 | −0.35 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Pospisil C | 9:48 | −0.39 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Backlund C | 20:13 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.07 | −0.45 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Chris Tanev D | 17:26 | −0.49 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Nazem Kadri C | 19:06 | −0.58 | −0.11 | −0.49 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 21:02 | −0.59 | +0.15 | −0.67 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 58:56 | +0.12 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Laferriere R | 9:28 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.16 | +0.55 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 14:39 | 2 | +0.67 | −0.05 | +0.70 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 17:36 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.13 | +0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 13:45 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.20 | +0.21 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Matt Roy D | 22:37 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jacob Moverare D | 14:52 | +0.14 | +0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 12:51 | +0.08 | +0.18 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Englund D | 16:04 | +0.06 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 23:14 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Lewis C | 11:27 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 15:33 | −0.01 | +0.14 | −0.33 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 11:39 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 17:24 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.15 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 26:17 | 2 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:46 | 2 | −0.27 | −0.22 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Blake Lizotte C | 11:44 | −0.28 | +0.04 | −0.31 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 9:33 | −0.30 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:00 | 1 | −0.65 | −0.08 | −0.38 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 60:00 | +0.04 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.