DAL beat NSH 3–2. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 1.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jani Hakanpää scored at 19:56 of the third, moving DAL’s win probability from 49% to 98%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 0:23 |  NSH | Michael McCarron from Ryan McDonagh, Philip Tomasino | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 6:33 | NSH | Colton SissonsPP from Gustav Nyquist, Ryan O'Reilly | 0–2 | 74% → 87% |
| P3 8:22 | DAL | Evgenii Dadonov from Esa Lindell, Roope Hintz | 1–2 | 5% → 18% |
| P3 19:45 | DAL | Craig SmithPP from Jason Robertson, Joe Pavelski | 2–2 | 3% → 49% |
| P3 19:56 | DAL | Jani Hakanpää unassisted | 3–2 | 49% → 98% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Smith C | 10:59 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.17 | +0.69 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 15:22 | 1 | +0.81 | −0.01 | +0.83 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jani Hakanpää D | 18:30 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.03 | +0.78 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Roope Hintz C | 15:33 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.13 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 19:30 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.06 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mason Marchment L | 15:58 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 25:03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Harley D | 21:08 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 12:53 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.19 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.10 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 11:49 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 10:56 | −0.08 | +0.07 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 19:18 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 13:44 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 19:31 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.08 | −0.28 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Duchene C | 18:54 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 16:02 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.13 | −0.51 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Wyatt Johnston C | 15:16 | −0.44 | +0.04 | −0.49 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 19:06 | −0.49 | −0.09 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 58:20 | −0.34 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Sissons C | 17:14 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.09 | +0.51 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Filip Forsberg L | 15:45 | +0.10 | +0.13 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 18:30 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.13 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Michael McCarron C | 13:15 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.31 | +0.75 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.37 | −0.05 | |
| Philip Tomasino C | 13:15 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 19:26 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 14:50 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 11:15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 14:15 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 18:57 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Juuso Parssinen C | 14:14 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 16:37 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan McDonagh D | 23:26 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexandre Carrier D | 19:20 | −0.09 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roman Josi D | 22:14 | −0.12 | +0.06 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Evangelista R | 10:44 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Barrie D | 17:37 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 15:06 | −0.31 | +0.02 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 60:00 | +0.40 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.