SEA beat LAK 2–1. Expected goals were close to even (SEA 3.2, LAK 3.0), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Brandon Tanev scored at 5:19 of the second, moving SEA’s win probability from 47% to 67%. Joey Daccord saved 2.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 5:19 | SEA | Brandon Tanev unassisted | 1–0 | 47% → 67% |
| P3 6:27 | SEA | Jordan Eberle from Matty Beniers, Will Borgen | 2–0 | 77% → 93% |
| P3 8:00 |  LAK | Blake LizotteSH unassisted | 2–1 | 5% → 21% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Tanev L | 20:01 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.40 | +0.48 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Eberle R | 17:31 | 1 | +0.52 | +0.19 | +0.34 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 19:40 | +0.24 | +0.51 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 16:17 | +0.19 | +0.22 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 14:40 | +0.11 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 25:57 | +0.10 | +0.22 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Tatar L | 16:05 | +0.06 | +0.14 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yanni Gourde C | 17:44 | +0.06 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Kole Lind R | 5:59 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 18:08 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.21 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Wennberg C | 21:27 | −0.03 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Devin Shore C | 6:00 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 21:14 | −0.12 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Schultz D | 15:00 | −0.23 | +0.13 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tye Kartye L | 10:15 | −0.24 | −0.10 | −0.33 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matty Beniers C | 17:28 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.22 | −0.47 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 14:40 | −0.33 | −0.08 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 14:04 | −0.71 | +0.16 | −0.68 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 59:50 | +2.13 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Lizotte C | 9:25 | 1 | +0.78 | −0.05 | +0.64 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 7:20 | +0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Moverare D | 13:22 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 18:46 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 17:05 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:06 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 21:37 | −0.19 | −0.10 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 19:10 | −0.20 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Andreas Englund D | 17:15 | −0.29 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 9:05 | −0.29 | −0.05 | −0.23 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 19:38 | −0.30 | −0.03 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 13:06 | −0.30 | −0.25 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 27:03 | −0.32 | −0.28 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:58 | −0.40 | −0.30 | −0.22 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.09 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 14:17 | −0.40 | −0.12 | −0.34 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 18:33 | −0.51 | −0.40 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 11:22 | −0.53 | −0.04 | −0.31 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:50 | −0.65 | −0.33 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 57:08 | +1.58 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.