PHI beat WSH 4–3 in a shootout. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 3.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Owen Tippett scored at 17:01 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 9% to 51%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 2:14 |  PHI | Bobby Brink from Marc Staal, Morgan Frost | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 3:00 |  WSH | Connor McMichael from Aliaksei Protas, Anthony Mantha | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 15:29 | WSH | Tom WilsonPP from Dylan Strome, T.J. Oshie | 2–1 | 48% → 70% |
| P3 5:25 | PHI | Joel Farabee from Ryan Poehling | 2–2 | 24% → 52% |
| P3 9:05 | WSH | Dylan Strome from Aliaksei Protas, Tom Wilson | 3–2 | 48% → 79% |
| P3 17:01 | PHI | Owen Tippett from Morgan Frost | 3–3 | 9% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Oshie R | 14:11 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.29 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.37 | +0.00 | +0.71 | |
| Dylan Strome C | 20:56 | 1 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.38 | +0.28 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.35 |
| Nic Dowd C | 20:30 | +0.26 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.37 | −0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 21:53 | 1 | 1 | +0.23 | −0.08 | +0.30 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 |
| Rasmus Sandin D | 20:19 | +0.20 | +0.25 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 19:07 | +0.10 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Joe Snively C | 6:31 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Phillips R | 2:44 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Jensen D | 20:15 | −0.03 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 27:23 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 20:02 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.29 | +0.34 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 9:05 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 13:28 | −0.13 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Beck Malenstyn L | 16:04 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 16:01 | 2 | −0.26 | −0.13 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Martin Fehérváry D | 20:15 | −0.49 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 14:36 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.44 | |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 22:10 | −0.67 | −0.15 | −0.56 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren G | 64:30 | −0.84 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Brink R | 12:19 | 1 | +1.65 | +0.04 | +0.56 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.06 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 13:48 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.07 | +0.80 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 16:40 | 1 | +0.85 | +0.04 | +0.83 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 22:55 | +0.66 | +0.03 | −0.16 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | +0.71 | ||
| Marc Staal D | 14:54 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Ryan Poehling C | 19:25 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.08 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Walker D | 16:46 | +0.14 | +0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 14:14 | +0.05 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 6:54 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 21:43 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:14 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 25:26 | −0.20 | −0.09 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 11:23 | −0.32 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 10:53 | −0.40 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 16:43 | −0.43 | +0.23 | −0.84 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 18:56 | 2 | −0.46 | −0.02 | −0.44 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Tyson Foerster R | 19:40 | −0.61 | +0.05 | −0.32 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.35 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 24:25 | −0.77 | −0.14 | −0.79 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson G | 64:48 | +0.21 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.