BOS beat CBJ 3–1. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Brad Marchand scored on the power play at 5:37 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 53% to 80%. Jeremy Swayman saved 1.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 19:25 |  CBJ | Boone Jenner from Mathieu Olivier, Zach Werenski | 1–0 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 1:56 |  BOS | Brad Marchand from Danton Heinen, Charlie Coyle | 1–1 | 26% → 52% |
| P3 5:37 | BOS | Brad MarchandPP from Charlie McAvoy, James van Riemsdyk | 1–2 | 53% → 80% |
| P3 7:46 | BOS | Brad MarchandPP from Pavel Zacha, Charlie McAvoy | 1–3 | 82% → 95% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boone Jenner C | 20:01 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.02 | +0.45 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Danforth R | 14:12 | +0.14 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Mathieu Olivier R | 10:23 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Boqvist D | 20:42 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Bean D | 12:59 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 21:20 | −0.03 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirill Marchenko R | 16:27 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Egor Chinakhov R | 14:53 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 15:21 | −0.13 | −0.13 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Erik Gudbranson D | 17:20 | −0.16 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Laine L | 16:28 | −0.28 | −0.17 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 17:46 | −0.28 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kent Johnson C | 11:44 | −0.28 | −0.07 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 30:26 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.08 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dmitri Voronkov L | 13:15 | −0.29 | −0.03 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| David Jiricek D | 9:50 | −0.35 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Texier L | 13:10 | −0.53 | −0.23 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fantilli C | 17:22 | −0.71 | −0.18 | −0.51 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Martin G | 57:17 | +0.07 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Marchand L | 19:17 | 3 | +2.62 | +0.07 | +2.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Forbort D | 18:09 | +0.15 | +0.18 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 15:45 | +0.14 | +0.17 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:41 | +0.12 | +0.17 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Poitras C | 11:56 | +0.05 | +0.08 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 12:56 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 18:48 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.13 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 14:21 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Lauko C | 10:38 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 20:34 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.16 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 13:53 | −0.13 | +0.08 | −0.26 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 14:39 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.15 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Trent Frederic C | 12:19 | −0.19 | +0.17 | −0.34 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 15:49 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.12 | −0.50 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| John Beecher C | 11:45 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 24:30 | 2 | −0.23 | +0.11 | −0.36 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 20:58 | −0.35 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 60:00 | +1.38 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.