WSH beat VGK 3–0. WSH lost the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 3.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Dylan Strome scored at 16:39 of the first, moving WSH’s win probability from 53% to 71%. Charlie Lindgren saved 4.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 16:39 | WSH | Dylan Strome from Sonny Milano | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P3 19:11 | WSH | Connor McMichaelEN from John Carlson, Rasmus Sandin | 0–2 | 96% → 100% |
| P3 19:27 | WSH | Beck Malenstyn unassisted | 0–3 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 25:05 | +0.22 | +0.27 | −0.09 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 19:47 | +0.17 | +0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Carrier L | 11:52 | +0.14 | +0.15 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 22:48 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 19:46 | −0.02 | +0.11 | −0.17 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 13:45 | −0.04 | +0.12 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Rondbjerg R | 8:38 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 11:53 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 13:54 | −0.10 | +0.10 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 16:03 | −0.13 | +0.10 | −0.42 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 17:16 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 8:10 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Eichel C | 23:29 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.33 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 19:20 | −0.33 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 20:11 | −0.41 | −0.07 | −0.43 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 6:05 | −0.41 | +0.03 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 13:12 | −0.58 | +0.17 | −0.83 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Mark Stone R | 21:17 | −0.60 | +0.06 | −0.73 | +0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 58:29 | +1.02 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Strome C | 13:35 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.66 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Beck Malenstyn L | 15:06 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.16 | +0.68 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Alexander Alexeyev D | 11:05 | +0.08 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan McIlrath D | 6:22 | +0.06 | +0.10 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sonny Milano L | 12:43 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Carlson D | 29:46 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.14 | −0.09 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Matthew Phillips R | 13:52 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 26:48 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 10:41 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Jensen D | 21:56 | −0.23 | −0.23 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 9:41 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| T.J. Oshie R | 16:11 | −0.24 | −0.13 | −0.32 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 15:57 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 18:09 | −0.35 | −0.17 | −0.34 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 15:42 | −0.35 | −0.09 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.10 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 21:59 | −0.50 | −0.23 | −0.31 | +0.08 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 20:42 | −0.62 | −0.20 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Lucas Johansen D | 17:51 | −0.63 | −0.32 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren G | 60:00 | +4.11 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.