NYI beat WSH 3–0. NYI lost the expected-goals battle 2.0 to 4.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Ryan Pulock scored at 0:22 of the first, moving NYI’s win probability from 47% to 62%. Semyon Varlamov saved 3.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:22 | NYI | Ryan Pulock from Brock Nelson, Kyle Palmieri | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 10:41 | NYI | Simon Holmstrom from Hudson Fasching, Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 2–0 | 64% → 77% |
| P2 11:15 | NYI | Brock Nelson from Pierre Engvall, Scott Mayfield | 3–0 | 85% → 95% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pulock D | 24:44 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.20 | +0.82 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brock Nelson C | 18:00 | 1 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.17 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Simon Holmstrom R | 11:53 | 1 | +0.56 | −0.16 | +0.73 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Palmieri C | 17:17 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.12 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Mayfield D | 21:21 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 13:24 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 19:22 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Martin L | 9:36 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hudson Fasching R | 8:50 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Noah Dobson D | 26:31 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 25:16 | −0.21 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 3:24 | −0.25 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 14:34 | −0.26 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 14:46 | −0.29 | −0.08 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 13:36 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Sebastian Aho D | 16:41 | −0.34 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre Engvall L | 15:49 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.18 | −0.35 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mathew Barzal C | 18:56 | −0.59 | −0.21 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov G | 60:00 | +3.21 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Jensen D | 18:58 | +0.20 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 25:46 | +0.14 | +0.20 | −0.10 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| T.J. Oshie R | 18:43 | +0.11 | +0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 15:14 | +0.11 | +0.14 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 18:05 | +0.10 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 16:22 | +0.08 | +0.10 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Matthew Phillips R | 11:54 | +0.07 | +0.10 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Beck Malenstyn L | 11:28 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 8:49 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Hardy Haman Aktell D | 10:49 | +0.02 | +0.09 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 22:18 | −0.01 | +0.20 | −0.31 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 14:46 | −0.05 | +0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 22:57 | −0.10 | +0.16 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 18:02 | −0.19 | +0.18 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 18:13 | −0.25 | +0.16 | −0.42 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 15:23 | −0.29 | +0.14 | −0.57 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.05 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 19:29 | −0.29 | +0.15 | −0.48 | +0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sonny Milano L | 12:49 | −0.30 | +0.07 | −0.37 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 57:58 | −1.15 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.