FLA beat DET 2–0. FLA also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Steven Lorentz scored at 19:08 of the second, moving FLA’s win probability from 49% to 72%. Sergei Bobrovsky saved 2.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | FLA–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 19:08 | FLA | Steven Lorentz from Niko Mikkola | 1–0 | 49% → 72% |
| P3 18:48 | FLA | Anton LundellEN from Matthew Tkachuk, Dmitry Kulikov | 2–0 | 94% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
FLA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Lorentz C | 8:22 | 1 | +0.92 | −0.01 | +0.92 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Sam Reinhart C | 21:27 | +0.26 | +0.26 | −0.19 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 26:24 | +0.24 | +0.20 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evan Rodrigues C | 16:25 | +0.15 | +0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Tkachuk L | 21:07 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.21 | −0.52 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.37 | +0.01 | |
| Uvis Balinskis D | 14:47 | +0.09 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Aleksander Barkov C | 21:43 | +0.09 | +0.27 | −0.49 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.10 | ||
| Niko Mikkola D | 17:30 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.13 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| William Lockwood R | 7:08 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joshua Mahura D | 12:35 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 18:39 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Cousins C | 11:51 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carter Verhaeghe C | 16:10 | −0.20 | +0.04 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Gustav Forsling D | 21:50 | −0.21 | +0.10 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lomberg L | 8:18 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Stenlund C | 13:41 | −0.23 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Anton Lundell C | 17:01 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.02 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Eetu Luostarinen C | 15:13 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky G | 59:49 | +2.07 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holl D | 20:18 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Sprong R | 13:40 | +0.01 | −0.07 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 16:27 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Klim Kostin C | 6:19 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Fischer R | 7:47 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 14:56 | −0.08 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Czarnik C | 8:00 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 14:34 | −0.12 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 12:49 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 21:05 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Compher L | 19:01 | −0.18 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 18:56 | −0.23 | −0.20 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 23:00 | −0.26 | −0.19 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 21:45 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 17:14 | −0.30 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| David Perron L | 15:39 | −0.37 | −0.03 | −0.35 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 21:29 | −0.40 | −0.03 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.07 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 18:57 | −0.63 | +0.03 | −0.48 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| James Reimer G | 58:04 | +1.26 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.