LAK beat TOR 4–1. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Andreas Englund scored at 6:38 of the first, moving LAK’s win probability from 46% to 63%. Joseph Woll allowed 1.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–TOR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:38 | LAK | Andreas Englund from Pierre-Luc Dubois | 1–0 | 46% → 63% |
| P1 11:40 | LAK | Phillip Danault from Trevor Moore, Jordan Spence | 2–0 | 64% → 77% |
| P2 9:46 | LAK | Arthur KaliyevPP from Kevin Fiala, Quinton Byfield | 3–0 | 85% → 95% |
| P3 8:25 | TOR | John TavaresPP from Mitch Marner, William Nylander | 3–1 | 1% → 5% |
| P3 12:13 | LAK | Adrian Kempe from Anze Kopitar, Quinton Byfield | 4–1 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Englund D | 12:22 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.13 | +0.79 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 17:30 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.04 | +0.58 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 14:55 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.01 | +0.72 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 17:57 | 1 | +0.51 | +0.02 | +0.55 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Matt Roy D | 22:40 | +0.26 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 12:54 | +0.17 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 12:26 | 2 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Blake Lizotte C | 11:42 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 12:22 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 18:05 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 17:45 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 21:22 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 26:27 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 9:31 | −0.18 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 19:27 | −0.19 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 11:12 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 16:32 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:21 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.02 | −0.38 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 60:00 | +1.60 |
TOR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tavares C | 19:25 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.05 | +0.43 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.07 | |
| John Klingberg D | 18:17 | +0.11 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Giordano D | 20:44 | +0.05 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timothy Liljegren D | 20:50 | +0.04 | +0.08 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mitch Marner R | 19:24 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.09 | −0.14 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| William Lagesson D | 11:14 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Rielly D | 24:02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Knies L | 14:05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Auston Matthews C | 18:43 | −0.05 | +0.07 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 8:07 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 14:24 | −0.14 | +0.06 | −0.35 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| TJ Brodie D | 20:36 | −0.16 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Pontus Holmberg R | 8:26 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Noah Gregor L | 10:25 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 16:04 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 14:00 | −0.42 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| William Nylander R | 18:54 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.05 | −0.47 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Max Domi C | 14:38 | −0.54 | −0.08 | −0.13 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.37 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joseph Woll G | 59:58 | −1.67 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.