SEA beat DET 5–4 in overtime. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 4.5 to 3.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jordan Eberle scored at 4:55 of overtime, moving SEA’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Joey Daccord allowed 1.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:07 | DET | Joe Veleno from Olli Maatta, Daniel Sprong | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 5:16 | SEA | Jaden SchwartzPP from Vince Dunn, Matty Beniers | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 17:54 | SEA | Jaden Schwartz from Alexander Wennberg, Oliver Bjorkstrand | 2–1 | 47% → 72% |
| P2 19:04 | SEA | Tye Kartye from Brian Dumoulin | 3–1 | 72% → 89% |
| P3 2:10 | DET | Shayne GostisbeherePP from Moritz Seider, Dylan Larkin | 3–2 | 10% → 26% |
| P3 4:38 | DET | Dylan LarkinPP from Shayne Gostisbehere, Moritz Seider | 3–3 | 25% → 53% |
| P3 10:26 | DET | Alex DeBrincatPP from Dylan Larkin, Shayne Gostisbehere | 3–4 | 53% → 83% |
| P3 18:38 | SEA | Jared McCannPP from Matty Beniers, Jordan Eberle | 4–4 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 4:55 | SEA | Jordan Eberle from Jared McCann, Vince Dunn | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared McCann L | 18:53 | 1 | 1 | +1.44 | +0.34 | +0.69 | +0.19 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.01 |
| Jaden Schwartz C | 17:04 | 2 | +0.67 | +0.06 | +0.66 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tye Kartye L | 13:47 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.21 | +0.17 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 25:12 | 2 | +0.64 | +0.37 | +0.00 | +0.26 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Eberle R | 19:26 | 1 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.55 | +0.09 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 14:52 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Will Borgen D | 16:13 | +0.10 | +0.24 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 23:31 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.12 | −0.08 | +0.15 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | |
| Devin Shore C | 6:51 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 19:23 | −0.01 | +0.15 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L | 10:14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 6:59 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Matty Beniers C | 20:56 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.22 | −0.16 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 16:49 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Adam Larsson D | 28:50 | −0.10 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yanni Gourde C | 17:14 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 13:45 | −0.15 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Schultz D | 14:36 | −0.17 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 64:36 | −1.49 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 21:41 | 1 | 2 | +0.69 | +0.06 | +0.36 | +0.29 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Dylan Larkin C | 21:52 | 1 | 2 | +0.53 | +0.00 | +0.23 | +0.26 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 |
| Joe Veleno C | 14:47 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.01 | +0.44 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 21:14 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.07 | +0.32 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Olli Maatta D | 12:20 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Copp C | 19:57 | +0.12 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Christian Fischer R | 6:41 | +0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 23:12 | +0.02 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 26:32 | 2 | −0.06 | −0.35 | +0.00 | +0.29 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Perron L | 17:05 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.15 | +0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 5:10 | −0.19 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Sprong R | 14:48 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Austin Czarnik C | 5:38 | −0.24 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 15:38 | −0.35 | −0.27 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 18:01 | −0.46 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 18:52 | −0.51 | −0.47 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Compher L | 22:37 | −0.58 | −0.53 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Justin Holl D | 20:43 | −0.73 | −0.31 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.37 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso G | 64:55 | −1.24 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.