NSH beat MIN 4–3 in overtime. NSH also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Juuso Parssinen scored at 2:44 of overtime, moving NSH’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:02 |  NSH | Mark JankowskiSH from Tyson Barrie, Michael McCarron | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 14:19 |  MIN | Frederick Gaudreau from Jon Merrill, Gustav Nyquist | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P1 16:19 | NSH | Kiefer Sherwood from Tommy Novak, Luke Evangelista | 1–2 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 10:46 | MIN | Frederick Gaudreau from Marcus Foligno, Gustav Nyquist | 2–2 | 26% → 47% |
| P3 14:04 | NSH | Yakov Trenin from Juuso Parssinen, Colton Sissons | 2–3 | 51% → 87% |
| P3 14:20 | MIN | Nic Petan from Sammy Walker, Damien Giroux | 3–3 | 12% → 49% |
| OT 2:44 | NSH | Juuso Parssinen from Ryan McDonagh, Cody Glass | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 11:28 | 2 | +1.57 | +0.07 | +1.49 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Nic Petan C | 14:44 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.15 | +0.62 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Klingberg D | 19:39 | +0.21 | +0.21 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 18:25 | +0.07 | +0.11 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Faber D | 18:19 | +0.07 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Dumba D | 20:57 | +0.06 | +0.09 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Foligno L | 17:23 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.18 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Middleton D | 19:20 | −0.14 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 17:57 | 2 | −0.16 | +0.08 | −0.46 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Marco Rossi C | 17:31 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Goligoski D | 24:25 | −0.19 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Swaney R | 9:33 | −0.21 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sammy Walker C | 12:07 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.06 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Dewar C | 20:32 | −0.26 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Damien Giroux C | 13:57 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Brandon Duhaime R | 16:52 | −0.33 | +0.13 | −0.45 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Calen Addison D | 10:08 | −0.34 | −0.19 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jon Merrill D | 18:55 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.38 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson G | 62:44 | −0.37 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 18:40 | 1 | +0.83 | −0.13 | +0.77 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Mark Jankowski L | 13:25 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.23 | +0.41 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Juuso Parssinen C | 11:29 | 1 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.02 | +0.79 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Yakov Trenin C | 15:49 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.07 | +0.71 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 23:15 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.24 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael McCarron C | 14:26 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.23 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Dante Fabbro D | 20:19 | +0.11 | +0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Asplund C | 12:20 | +0.01 | +0.22 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Spencer Stastney D | 18:15 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Barrie D | 22:37 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cody Glass C | 16:55 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.05 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.08 | |
| Cal Foote D | 17:00 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Livingstone D | 15:47 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philip Tomasino C | 16:55 | −0.24 | −0.09 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zachary Sanford L | 15:54 | −0.33 | −0.09 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 15:37 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.02 | −0.48 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Luke Evangelista R | 19:01 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.19 | −0.50 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Tommy Novak C | 18:28 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.32 | −0.34 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 62:44 | −0.61 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.