DAL beat STL 5–2. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Roope Hintz scored on the power play at 4:48 of the second, moving DAL’s win probability from 48% to 68%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:49 | DAL | Wyatt Johnston from Ryan Suter, Jamie Benn | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 7:44 |  STL | Jakub VranaPP from Robert Thomas, Justin Faulk | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 19:04 | DAL | Joe PavelskiPP from Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson | 2–1 | 47% → 65% |
| P1 19:40 | STL | Robert Thomas from Jordan Kyrou | 2–2 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 4:48 | DAL | Roope HintzPP from Jamie Benn, Jason Robertson | 3–2 | 48% → 68% |
| P2 5:36 | DAL | Wyatt JohnstonPP from Evgenii Dadonov, Tyler Seguin | 4–2 | 68% → 82% |
| P2 19:17 | DAL | Tyler SeguinPP from Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson | 5–2 | 90% → 97% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Pavelski C | 15:18 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.07 | +0.86 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Wyatt Johnston C | 16:44 | 2 | +0.60 | +0.11 | +0.68 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 22:45 | 2 | +0.48 | +0.11 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Roope Hintz C | 17:09 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.06 | +0.28 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 15:40 | 2 | +0.30 | +0.11 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 17:51 | 1 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.07 | +0.21 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Thomas Harley D | 15:55 | +0.13 | +0.09 | −0.06 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 15:25 | +0.11 | +0.10 | −0.08 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 21:41 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.06 | −0.07 | +0.09 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 18:05 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 12:07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 17:02 | 3 | −0.07 | +0.09 | −0.31 | +0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jani Hakanpää D | 18:47 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 16:34 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.11 | −0.44 | +0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Radek Faksa C | 13:16 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Max Domi C | 15:50 | −0.24 | +0.06 | −0.20 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Kiviranta L | 12:45 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 12:15 | −0.35 | +0.03 | −0.08 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 59:54 | +0.04 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh McGing L | 9:37 | +0.33 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.38 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Thomas C | 19:44 | 1 | 1 | +0.28 | −0.13 | +0.21 | +0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Jakub Vrana L | 13:46 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.02 | +0.28 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexey Toropchenko R | 14:11 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Faulk D | 22:33 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Calle Rosen D | 19:10 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Kyrou R | 16:42 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.11 | +0.24 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nathan Walker L | 12:00 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 21:37 | −0.09 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Tucker D | 16:40 | −0.09 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 20:18 | −0.10 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 13:21 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sammy Blais L | 14:36 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 16:54 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Neighbours L | 10:58 | −0.18 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 17:40 | −0.21 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 15:31 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 15:23 | −0.46 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.38 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer G | 59:28 | −0.72 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.