VGK beat SEA 4–1. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Michael Amadio scored at 2:00 of the second, moving VGK’s win probability from 53% to 72%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:37 |  VGK | Michael Amadio from Reilly Smith, William Karlsson | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 9:06 |  SEA | Yanni Gourde from Oliver Bjorkstrand | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 2:00 | VGK | Michael Amadio from Reilly Smith, William Karlsson | 1–2 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 14:48 | VGK | Reilly Smith from Michael Amadio, Nicolas Hague | 1–3 | 75% → 90% |
| P3 3:23 | VGK | Jonathan MarchessaultPP from Alex Pietrangelo, Chandler Stephenson | 1–4 | 96% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanni Gourde C | 16:40 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.09 | +0.85 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Matty Beniers C | 15:35 | +0.20 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Jesper Froden R | 10:48 | +0.05 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Tanev L | 12:07 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cale Fleury D | 18:12 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaycob Megna D | 19:05 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 21:12 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 21:19 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 19:03 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Sprong R | 15:04 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 16:27 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 18:11 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 15:45 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 17:37 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 17:22 | −0.23 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 15:25 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 13:55 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 11:55 | −0.51 | +0.03 | −0.49 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 60:00 | −0.54 |
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Amadio R | 14:03 | 2 | 1 | +1.50 | +0.10 | +1.40 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 15:00 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.03 | +0.61 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.02 | |
| Reilly Smith R | 14:54 | 1 | 2 | +0.66 | +0.10 | +0.55 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 20:22 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 20:24 | +0.06 | +0.10 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 17:04 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 12:02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 20:57 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Hutton D | 20:05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 14:26 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Nicolas Roy C | 16:55 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 14:44 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden Pachal D | 17:09 | −0.12 | +0.11 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Teddy Blueger C | 14:15 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 15:37 | 2 | −0.25 | +0.10 | −0.35 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 16:25 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.03 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Phil Kessel R | 14:48 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 16:50 | −0.45 | +0.02 | −0.46 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit G | 60:00 | +0.45 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.