VAN beat CHI 3–0. VAN lost the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 2.9 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Andrei Kuzmenko scored at 16:16 of the first, moving VAN’s win probability from 53% to 71%. Thatcher Demko saved 3.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 16:16 | VAN | Andrei Kuzmenko from Elias Pettersson, Akito Hirose | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 3:53 | VAN | Vitali KravtsovPP from Conor Garland, Akito Hirose | 0–2 | 73% → 87% |
| P3 19:35 | VAN | J.T. MillerEN from Brock Boeser, Tyler Myers | 0–3 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 15:05 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 14:17 | +0.04 | +0.17 | −0.23 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 23:00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 17:30 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 17:15 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 17:29 | −0.06 | +0.16 | −0.27 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 19:41 | −0.06 | +0.16 | −0.08 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 24:48 | −0.11 | +0.16 | −0.06 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Englund D | 14:14 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joey Anderson R | 13:18 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 13:09 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Anders Bjork L | 12:25 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reese Johnson C | 11:19 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 18:16 | −0.21 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.06 | ||
| Ian Mitchell D | 15:47 | −0.22 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lukas Reichel L | 17:18 | −0.26 | +0.00 | −0.21 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 15:11 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Boris Katchouk L | 14:56 | −0.54 | +0.03 | −0.33 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Stalock G | 59:15 | +0.85 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Garland R | 13:43 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.06 | −0.14 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Vitali Kravtsov R | 10:54 | 1 | +0.28 | −0.00 | +0.31 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Akito Hirose D | 20:30 | 2 | +0.26 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.18 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 18:56 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.05 | +0.36 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 20:52 | 1 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 20:43 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cole McWard D | 14:35 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sheldon Dries C | 12:41 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Dakota Joshua C | 12:25 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Studnicka C | 10:26 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nils Aman C | 14:38 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 17:47 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 17:41 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.03 | −0.05 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Kyle Burroughs D | 18:32 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Di Giuseppe L | 13:32 | −0.25 | −0.07 | −0.14 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethan Bear D | 16:59 | −0.31 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 15:19 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.01 | −0.31 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinn Hughes D | 23:47 | −0.47 | −0.00 | −0.09 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 60:00 | +3.37 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.