STL beat NYR 3–2 in overtime. STL also won the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 2.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen scored at 1:16 of overtime, moving STL’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 8:00 | STL | Alexey Toropchenko unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 73% |
| P3 1:55 | NYR | Vladimir TarasenkoPP from Mika Zibanejad, Adam Fox | 1–1 | 23% → 48% |
| P3 10:13 | STL | Tyler Pitlick from Nathan Walker, Torey Krug | 1–2 | 52% → 83% |
| P3 17:57 | NYR | Vincent TrocheckPP from Vladimir Tarasenko, Artemi Panarin | 2–2 | 7% → 50% |
| OT 1:16 | STL | Kasperi Kapanen from Brayden Schenn, Justin Faulk | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Trocheck C | 16:59 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.18 | +0.69 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.13 | |
| Mika Zibanejad C | 17:25 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 20:19 | 1 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.15 | +0.26 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Chris Kreider L | 15:12 | +0.08 | +0.18 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Harpur D | 10:30 | +0.02 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 18:44 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jimmy Vesey L | 14:59 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 14:37 | −0.06 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 19:08 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Barclay Goodrow C | 13:16 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 14:15 | −0.12 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Niko Mikkola D | 18:52 | −0.12 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 19:29 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tyler Motte C | 14:37 | −0.14 | +0.13 | −0.23 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| K'Andre Miller D | 20:16 | −0.21 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 18:09 | −0.24 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 18:33 | −0.29 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 16:45 | −0.35 | −0.18 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak G | 60:59 | −0.69 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexey Toropchenko R | 14:20 | 1 | +0.54 | +0.14 | +0.41 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tyler Pitlick C | 13:39 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.13 | +0.31 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 18:46 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.13 | +0.38 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Torey Krug D | 19:56 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.22 | −0.02 | +0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Faulk D | 22:34 | 1 | +0.32 | +0.34 | +0.00 | +0.17 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nathan Walker L | 13:17 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.13 | −0.11 | +0.27 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Brayden Schenn C | 17:18 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | |
| Sammy Blais L | 14:47 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Vrana L | 15:26 | −0.01 | +0.17 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 22:48 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Neighbours L | 13:19 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitri Samorukov D | 15:48 | −0.13 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Calle Rosen D | 17:26 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 21:07 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Brown C | 12:05 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jordan Kyrou R | 15:21 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 15:11 | −0.25 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 19:25 | −0.27 | +0.05 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.07 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington G | 61:16 | +0.29 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.