NSH beat VGK 3–2 in overtime. NSH lost the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 3.4 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Cody Glass scored on the power play at 3:30 of overtime, moving NSH’s win probability from 54% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:50 |  NSH | Tommy Novak from Luke Evangelista | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 13:08 | NSH | Tommy NovakPP from Cody Glass, Philip Tomasino | 0–2 | 71% → 84% |
| P2 6:00 | VGK | Alex Pietrangelo from Chandler Stephenson, Phil Kessel | 1–2 | 13% → 27% |
| P2 13:39 | VGK | Alex Pietrangelo from Jonathan Marchessault, Jack Eichel | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| OT 3:30 | NSH | Cody GlassPP from Tommy Novak, Tyson Barrie | 2–3 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 25:33 | 2 | +1.50 | +0.25 | +1.22 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Roy C | 17:47 | +0.19 | +0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 20:47 | +0.18 | +0.20 | −0.07 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teddy Blueger C | 12:18 | +0.18 | +0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 10:15 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 11:37 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 15:17 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.08 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 17:47 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 17:07 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 20:09 | −0.16 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 11:22 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 18:35 | −0.22 | +0.11 | −0.34 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 17:46 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 18:27 | −0.27 | −0.17 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 17:30 | −0.28 | −0.15 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Eichel C | 20:07 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.14 | −0.58 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 14:17 | −0.39 | −0.04 | −0.35 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 19:31 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.03 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 63:30 | −0.68 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Novak C | 18:55 | 2 | 1 | +1.27 | −0.04 | +1.31 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Cody Glass C | 17:39 | 1 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.13 | +0.69 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 |
| Philip Tomasino C | 19:51 | 1 | +0.41 | +0.27 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Tyson Barrie D | 22:54 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.37 | −0.31 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Spencer Stastney D | 17:47 | +0.12 | +0.16 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Gravel D | 16:41 | +0.05 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 19:32 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Mark Jankowski L | 11:28 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McCarron C | 10:56 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| John Leonard L | 9:43 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Evangelista R | 17:32 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 13:44 | −0.18 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 22:20 | −0.18 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Egor Afanasyev L | 16:04 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cal Foote D | 16:16 | −0.20 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Asplund C | 13:30 | −0.30 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 16:08 | −0.35 | +0.10 | −0.45 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan McDonagh D | 24:15 | −0.48 | −0.17 | −0.16 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 63:22 | +0.50 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.