VGK beat MIN 4–3 in a shootout. VGK lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 2.8 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Pavel Dorofeyev scored on the power play at 19:25 of the third, moving VGK’s win probability from 4% to 49%. Filip Gustavsson allowed 2.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:59 | VGK | Keegan Kolesar from Ben Hutton, Teddy Blueger | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 3:36 | MIN | Brandon Duhaime from Ryan Reaves, Connor Dewar | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 13:57 | MIN | John KlingbergPP from Matt Boldy, Mats Zuccarello | 1–2 | 54% → 75% |
| P2 16:34 | VGK | Pavel Dorofeyev from Reilly Smith, William Karlsson | 2–2 | 24% → 47% |
| P2 19:19 | MIN | Matt Boldy from Joel Eriksson Ek, Marcus Johansson | 2–3 | 52% → 77% |
| P3 19:25 | VGK | Pavel DorofeyevPP from William Karlsson, Jack Eichel | 3–3 | 4% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 16:10 | 2 | +2.99 | +0.06 | +1.76 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.99 | |
| Reilly Smith R | 18:09 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.06 | −0.29 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.99 | |
| Keegan Kolesar R | 9:16 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.07 | +0.80 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jack Eichel C | 21:56 | 1 | +0.53 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.65 | |
| Brett Howden C | 15:04 | +0.07 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 16:17 | +0.02 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 11:21 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 18:00 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Teddy Blueger C | 10:42 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 18:39 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 17:22 | −0.17 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 17:29 | 2 | −0.17 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.07 | −0.00 | |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 21:44 | −0.25 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 26:27 | −0.29 | −0.02 | −0.28 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 18:11 | −0.33 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 14:04 | −0.44 | +0.06 | −0.51 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 20:57 | −0.67 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.39 | ||
| Nicolas Roy C | 21:09 | −0.90 | −0.13 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.51 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit G | 62:29 | −0.28 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 16:41 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.04 | +0.99 | |
| Brandon Duhaime R | 9:48 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.06 | +0.73 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 18:26 | +0.59 | +0.12 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.59 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 16:48 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.04 | +0.62 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Boldy L | 20:12 | 1 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.21 | +0.54 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.51 |
| Jonas Brodin D | 23:21 | +0.13 | +0.12 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 8:45 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 12:33 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 17:33 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jake Middleton D | 21:50 | −0.01 | +0.21 | −0.21 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Dewar C | 11:21 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.00 | |
| Jon Merrill D | 14:08 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.11 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 24:26 | −0.06 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.05 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Dumba D | 22:14 | −0.13 | +0.20 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 20:23 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.07 | −0.18 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.33 | |
| Marcus Foligno L | 12:39 | −0.20 | +0.07 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 16:53 | −0.45 | +0.03 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 18:59 | −0.67 | +0.11 | −0.31 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.51 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson G | 65:00 | −2.74 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.