DET beat STL 3–2 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (DET 3.0, STL 2.7), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Filip Zadina scored at 17:47 of the first, moving DET’s win probability from 29% to 47%. Magnus Hellberg saved 2.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:21 | STL | Robert Bortuzzo from Sammy Blais, Brayden Schenn | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 7:49 | DET | Alex ChiassonPP from David Perron, Dylan Larkin | 1–1 | 31% → 47% |
| P1 10:03 | STL | Marco Scandella unassisted | 1–2 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 17:47 | DET | Filip Zadina from Dominik Kubalik, Gustav Lindstrom | 2–2 | 29% → 47% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond L | 18:51 | +1.00 | +0.30 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.99 | ||
| Filip Zadina R | 14:02 | 1 | +0.78 | −0.01 | +0.61 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Alex Chiasson R | 12:21 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.18 | +0.71 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Austin Czarnik C | 11:41 | +0.06 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 15:51 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Moritz Seider D | 26:23 | +0.04 | +0.10 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Oesterle D | 18:33 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 20:31 | −0.05 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Hagg D | 18:19 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 12:33 | −0.09 | +0.12 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Matt Luff R | 8:15 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 14:23 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pius Suter C | 18:18 | −0.19 | +0.13 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.33 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 13:39 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 22:33 | −0.24 | −0.13 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 22:02 | −0.39 | −0.21 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 21:39 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.24 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.09 | −0.51 | |
| David Perron L | 19:06 | 1 | −0.97 | −0.21 | −0.38 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.39 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Magnus Hellberg G | 65:00 | +2.31 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Scandella D | 19:24 | 1 | +0.94 | +0.06 | +0.87 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Bortuzzo D | 13:20 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.00 | +0.81 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Thomas C | 23:46 | +0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Sammy Blais L | 16:04 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 16:30 | −0.01 | +0.26 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Logan Brown C | 7:10 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 18:14 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 20:45 | −0.13 | +0.08 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nathan Walker L | 8:30 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jake Neighbours L | 9:34 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 18:50 | −0.20 | −0.25 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alexey Toropchenko R | 12:14 | −0.26 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 23:06 | −0.42 | −0.15 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Kyrou R | 19:41 | −0.44 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.39 | ||
| Jakub Vrana L | 16:56 | −0.47 | +0.34 | −0.47 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.33 | ||
| Justin Faulk D | 24:57 | −0.57 | −0.11 | −0.26 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 20:47 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.10 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | −0.09 | −0.51 | |
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 20:05 | −0.70 | +0.23 | −0.43 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.51 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer G | 65:00 | +0.94 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.