BOS beat OTT 2–1. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk scored at 15:52 of the first, moving BOS’s win probability from 53% to 71%. Linus Ullmark saved 2.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | OTT–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:55 | OTT | Dylan Gambrell from Ridly Greig | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 11:33 | BOS | David KrejciPP from Patrice Bergeron, Hampus Lindholm | 1–1 | 40% → 54% |
| P1 15:52 | BOS | Jake DeBrusk from Brad Marchand, Hampus Lindholm | 1–2 | 53% → 71% |
Every player
Show both lineups
OTT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Gambrell C | 13:58 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.12 | +0.74 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Shane Pinto C | 18:34 | +0.14 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Artem Zub D | 17:27 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Chabot D | 20:57 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Brannstrom D | 12:44 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Brown C | 6:53 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derick Brassard C | 9:23 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jake Sanderson D | 25:06 | −0.17 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Watson L | 11:21 | −0.21 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ridly Greig C | 8:14 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Mark Kastelic C | 6:27 | −0.26 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 21:10 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.37 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 19:28 | −0.27 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 20:10 | −0.28 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brady Tkachuk L | 19:41 | −0.47 | +0.03 | −0.48 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Tim Stützle C | 21:23 | −0.51 | +0.01 | −0.35 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 19:10 | −0.52 | −0.03 | −0.51 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drake Batherson R | 21:51 | −0.85 | −0.14 | −0.72 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mads Sogaard G | 58:31 | +2.03 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Krejci C | 14:37 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.01 | +0.74 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:52 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.16 | +0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Clifton D | 13:11 | +0.26 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 19:12 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.16 | −0.17 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Dmitry Orlov D | 19:52 | +0.17 | +0.28 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:12 | +0.15 | +0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 13:24 | +0.08 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 22:51 | +0.08 | +0.06 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Lauko C | 6:00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 22:53 | 2 | −0.05 | +0.05 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrice Bergeron C | 18:24 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.15 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Garnet Hathaway R | 10:01 | −0.08 | +0.09 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 14:32 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 18:02 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 12:56 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 16:37 | −0.33 | −0.13 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 17:03 | −0.42 | +0.10 | −0.73 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 18:22 | −0.52 | +0.07 | −0.57 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark G | 60:00 | +2.14 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.