MIN beat NJD 2–1 in overtime. MIN lost the expected-goals battle 3.9 to 4.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Matt Boldy scored at 4:58 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Filip Gustavsson saved 3.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 6:41 | MIN | Mason Shaw from Connor Dewar, Oskar Sundqvist | 1–0 | 48% → 77% |
| P3 12:08 | NJD | Timo Meier from Nico Hischier, Jesper Bratt | 1–1 | 18% → 51% |
| OT 4:58 | MIN | Matt Boldy unassisted | 2–1 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw C | 12:26 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.03 | +0.70 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Boldy L | 19:43 | 1 | +0.41 | +0.26 | +0.13 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 18:07 | +0.27 | +0.27 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.12 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 27:02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jon Merrill D | 15:32 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 9:00 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Foligno L | 16:09 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 17:37 | −0.11 | +0.21 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 16:58 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | −0.06 | ||
| Jake Middleton D | 20:15 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Dewar C | 9:46 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mathew Dumba D | 22:37 | −0.23 | +0.14 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 13:45 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Goligoski D | 18:52 | −0.28 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 18:47 | −0.47 | −0.41 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 12:27 | −0.58 | −0.18 | −0.21 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 20:23 | −0.64 | −0.62 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 19:28 | −1.21 | −0.71 | −0.53 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson G | 64:58 | +3.89 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Meier R | 22:20 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.06 | +0.43 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Damon Severson D | 20:46 | +0.25 | +0.32 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 21:23 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.26 | −0.31 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Graves D | 19:57 | +0.12 | +0.15 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Bahl D | 14:13 | +0.08 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ondrej Palat L | 14:00 | +0.05 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Marino D | 20:39 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 19:53 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McLeod C | 8:32 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Nolan Foote L | 6:13 | −0.10 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 19:53 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 12:48 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 24:00 | −0.30 | −0.18 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Haula L | 18:47 | −0.34 | −0.19 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 11:52 | −0.37 | +0.12 | −0.46 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Tatar L | 11:56 | −0.42 | +0.10 | −0.34 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 22:10 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.06 | −0.43 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | |
| Jack Hughes C | 23:32 | −1.42 | +0.12 | −1.54 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Vitek Vanecek G | 64:58 | +1.37 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.